France - Croatia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League A - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday
  • Location: Stade de France (Paris - Saint-Denis)
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    France Croatia
    France Croatia
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)
    1.37
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    5.01
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    8.97
    (7.39)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    France
    70.1%
    Draw
    19.2%
    Croatia
    10.7%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    64.3% 22.5% 13.2%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in France's performance.
  • Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    88% 7.2% 4.8%
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    Predictions

  • Users Predictions: France will win (73 of 83 users predict this - 87.95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.95%94.95%.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    16. FranceMaignan M. (G) AC Milan
      5. FranceKounde J. Barcelona
      4. FranceUpamecano D. Bayern Munich
    17. FranceSaliba W. Arsenal
    22. FranceHernandez T. AC Milan
    13. FranceKone M. AS Roma
      8. FranceTchouameni A. Real Madrid
    11. FranceOlise M. Bayern Munich
      7. FranceDembele O. PSG
    20. FranceBarcola B. PSG
    10. FranceMbappe K. (C) Real Madrid
      1. CroatiaLivakovic D. (G) Fenerbahce
      2. CroatiaStanisic J. Bayern Munich
      5. CroatiaCaleta-Car D. Lyon
      6. CroatiaSutalo J. Ajax
      4. CroatiaGvardiol J. Manchester City
    10. CroatiaModric L. (C) Real Madrid
      8. CroatiaKovacic M. Manchester City
    14. CroatiaPerisic I. PSV
    21. CroatiaSucic P. Din. Zagreb
      9. CroatiaKramaric A. Hoffenheim
    11. CroatiaBudimir A. Osasuna
    Substitutes
      6. FranceCamavinga E. Real Madrid
    23. FranceChevalier L. (G) Lille
    21. FranceClauss J. Nice
      3. FranceDigne L. Aston Villa
      9. FranceDoue D. PSG
    19. FranceGuendouzi M. Lazio
    12. FranceKolo Muani R. Juventus
    15. FranceKonate I. Liverpool
      2. FrancePavard B. Inter
    14. FranceRabiot A. Marseille
      1. FranceSamba B. (G) Rennes
    18. FranceZaire-Emery W. PSG
    16. CroatiaBaturina M. Din. Zagreb
    17. CroatiaFruk T. Rijeka
    20. CroatiaIvanovic F. Royale Union SG
    23. CroatiaIvusic I. (G) Pafos
    18. CroatiaJakic K. Augsburg
    22. CroatiaJuranovic J. Union Berlin
    12. CroatiaKotarski D. (G) PAOK
      7. CroatiaMoro N. Bologna
    15. CroatiaPasalic M. Atalanta
      3. CroatiaPongracic M. Fiorentina
    19. CroatiaSosa B. Torino
    13. CroatiaVlasic N. Torino
    Coaches
         FranceDeschamps D.
         CroatiaDalic Z.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 35', Stanisic J. 🟨,
    • 37', Mbappe K. 🟨,
    • 45', Kovacic M. 🟨,
    • 45+3', Gvardiol J. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
    • 52', 1 - 0, Olise M. ,
    • 60', Budimir A. , Ivanovic F. ,
    • 61', Caleta-Car D. 🟨,
    • 66', Barcola B. , Doue D. ,
    • 71', Perisic I. , Pasalic M. ,
    • 71', Kramaric A. , Baturina M. ,
    • 74', Livakovic D. 🟨,
    • 80', 2 - 0, Dembele O. , Olise M. (A),
    • 81', Kovacic M. , Jakic K. ,
    • 81', Modric L. , Moro N. ,
    • 90+5', Jakic K. 🟨,
    • Extra Time (0 - 0)
    • 99', Dembele O. , Kolo Muani R. ,
    • 103', Kolo Muani R. 🟨,
    • 106', Olise M. , Camavinga E. ,
    • 106', Gvardiol J. , Pongracic M. ,
    • 111', Kone M. , Zaire-Emery W. ,
    • Penalties (5 - 4)
    • 1, Baturina M. (Pen),
    • 1, Mbappe K. (Pen),
    • 2, Moro N. (Pen),
    • 2, Tchouameni A. (Pen),
    • 3, Ivanovic F. (Pen),
    • 3, Kounde J. (Pen),
    • 4, Pasalic M. (Pen),
    • 4, Kolo Muani R. (Pen),
    • 5, Jakic K. (Pen),
    • 5, Hernandez T. (Pen),
    • 6, Caleta-Car D. (Pen),
    • 6, Doue D. (Pen),
    • 7, Stanisic J. (Pen),
    • 7, Upamecano D. (Pen),

    Preview

  • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches France won 2.
  • In this match France is certain favorite.
  • Last 6 head-to-head matches France won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.8:1.5).
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    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - France
    UEFA Nations League
    20.03.25 Croatia - France 2:0
    17.11.24 Italy - France 1:3
    14.11.24 France - Israel 0:0
    14.10.24 Belgium - France 1:2
    10.10.24 Israel - France 1:4
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5
    LWTWW
    - Croatia
    UEFA Nations League
    20.03.25 Croatia - France 2:0
    18.11.24 Croatia - Portugal 1:1
    15.11.24 Scotland - Croatia 1:0
    15.10.24 Poland - Croatia 3:3
    12.10.24 Croatia - Scotland 2:1
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4
    WTLTW
    Latest Head to Head
    UEFA Nations League
    20.03.25 Croatia - France 2:0
    13.06.22 France - Croatia 0:1
    06.06.22 Croatia - France 1:1
    14.10.20 Croatia - France 1:2
    08.09.20 France - Croatia 4:2
    FIFA World Cup
    15.07.18 France - Croatia 4:2