Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 17

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Robert Urbain (Boussu)

Referee: Calluy R. (Bel)


	Francs Borains		Lierse

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.35	2.98	Watch
	2.27	3.45	3.13
	2.3	3.55	2.87	Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.9
	2.23	3.22	2.94	Watch
	2.28	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.3)	3.32 ↑ (3.28)	2.97 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francs Borains
41.1%

Draw
27.8%

Lierse
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

28.3%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.8%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francs Borains has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Lierse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francs Borains than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Francs Borains - Lierse Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Francs Borains will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lierse will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Swinnen V. (G) 28. Francotte M. 77. Dalle Molle J. 24. Dessoleil D. 29. Bastian M. 9. Mituljikic J. 33. Diliberto N. 5. Van Oudenhove J. 25. Lavie C. 10. Ali A. 7. Wydra P.	61. Vroman K. (G) 66. Mertens J. 21. De Kerf B. 2. Perdichizzi P. 77. Masaki H. 36. Asare D. 8. Daguin V. 11. El Touile S. 6. Matuta E. 9. Adinany B. 22. Van Meirvenne C.
Substitutes
17. Bruno M. 6. Dewaest S. 15. Essiam E. 26. Hadjem Y. 14. Lucas Lima 23. Malungu L. 8. Mondele L. 1. Pandor Y. (G) 11. Ruiz Atil K.	27. De Peuter D. 45. De Ridder N. 1. De Smet J. (G) 58. De Vos V. 48. Gboua Y. 7. Hidraoui-Akachar Y. 3. Mayoka-Tika N. 29. Sy M. 26. Van Elsuwege T.
Coaches
Vanderhaeghe Y.	Shoffner J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Masaki H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Mituljikic J. ↓, Ruiz Atil K. ↑,
57', Lavie C. ↓, Bruno M. ↑,
60', Dalle Molle J. 🟨,
63', Ali A. ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
70', Daguin V. 🟨,
72', Mertens J. 🟨,
78', Wydra P. ↓, Mondele L. ↑,
78', Diliberto N. ↓, Dewaest S. ↑,
78', Matuta E. ↓, Mayoka-Tika N. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Daguin V. ⚽,
88', Van Meirvenne C. ↓, De Ridder N. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Francs Borains have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lierse is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Francs Borains won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Francs Borains won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francs Borains
Belgian Challenger Pro League
06.12.25	Beveren - Francs Borains	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	RWDM Brussels - Francs Borains	1:3 ✺
21.11.25	Francs Borains - RFC Liège	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Francs Borains - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	0:1 ✺
31.10.25	Lokeren - Francs Borains	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWLT
- Lierse Kempenzonen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
06.12.25	Lierse - Genk U23	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Lierse - Anderlecht U23	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.11.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Lierse	1:0 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
08.11.25	Brugge U23 - Lierse	0:1 ✺
31.10.25	Lierse - Lommel	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
02.03.25	Francs Borains - Lierse	1:0
06.10.24	Lierse - Francs Borains	4:0

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