Match Info

Bulgarian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Albena Stadium (Albena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Fratria		Arda Kardzhali

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	4.45	3.5	1.65	Watch
	22.75	5.49	1.17	Watch
	4.75	3.62	1.69	Watch
	4	3.5	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.99 ↑ (7.2)	4.03 ↓ (4.13)	1.59 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fratria
11.2%

Draw
25.1%

Arda Kardzhali
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

22.2%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

18.5%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fratria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fratria than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Fratria - Arda Kardzhali Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Huseynov C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Marinov M. ⚽,
65', 1 - 2, Shinyashiki A. ⚽,

Preview

Fratria is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arda is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Fratria has had a series of away games.

In this match, Arda is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fratria
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.10.25	CSKA Sofia II - Fratria	1:0 ✺
20.10.25	Fratria - Spartak Pleven	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
12.10.25	Germaneya - Fratria	0:4 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
06.10.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Fratria	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Minyor Pernik - Fratria	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWTW
- Arda Kardzhali
Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.10.25	Montana - Arda Kardzhali	1:1 ✺
20.10.25	Arda Kardzhali - Septemvri Sofia	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Arda Kardzhali	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Arda Kardzhali - Botev Vratsa	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLWLL

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