Match Info

efbet League - Round 13

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Ogosta Stadium (Montana)

Referee: Pavlov M. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Montana		Arda Kardzhali

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.05	2.1	Watch
	3.35	3.05	2.15
	3.72	3.11	2.17
	3.49	3.24	2.04	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.6	3.3	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (3.58)	3.14 ↓ (3.28)	2.1 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montana
26.3%

Draw
29.5%

Arda Kardzhali
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

28.2%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

27.2%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montana than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Montana - Arda Kardzhali Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Montana will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Arda will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arda: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arda (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Montana (4.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Montana (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Arda (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Simeonov V. (G) 15. Acheampong C. 20. Malembana D. 18. Iliev K. 25. James S. 27. Azevedo T. 23. Tungarov A. 6. Sakor V. 3. Iliadis I. 7. Dimitrov B. 9. Ejike P.	1. Gospodinov A. (G) 21. Velev V. 93. Eboa F. 23. Viyachki E. 35. Velkovski D. 80. Kotev L. 20. Yusein S. 11. Shinyashiki A. 71. Popov I. 17. Patrick Luan 8. Kabov A.
Substitutes
8. Atanasov P. 22. Berhane J. 4. Borisov N. 14. Burov D. 1. Rosa M. (G) 24. Strinski K. 10. Todorov A. 19. Tsekov Dimitrov V. 11. Vitinho	2. Gustavo Cascardo 18. Huseynov C. 4. Idowu D. 99. Karagaren B. 45. Mane I. 12. Nedelchev I. (G) 9. Nikolov G. 33. Tilev I. 39. Vutov A.
Coaches
Kalpakov T.	Tunchev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Popov I. ⚽, Kotev L. (A),
37', Sakor V. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Gospodinov A. (Own goal),
45+2', Velkovski D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Velev V. ↓, Gustavo Cascardo ↑,
46', Kabov A. ↓, Tilev I. ↑,
46', Sakor V. ↓, Strinski K. ↑,
58', Acheampong C. 🟨,
61', Azevedo T. ↓, Berhane J. ↑,
62', Shinyashiki A. ↓, Karagaren B. ↑,
68', Berhane J. 🟨,
72', Dimitrov B. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
73', Patrick Luan ↓, Nikolov G. ↑,
74', Popov I. ↓, Vutov A. ↑,
77', Ejike P. ↓, Atanasov P. ↑,
84', Kotev L. 🟨,
90', Viyachki E. 🟨,
90', Atanasov P. 🟨,
90+1', Velev V. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

Montana is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arda has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Arda has had a series of home games.

Arda might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montana won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Montana won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Montana
Bulgarian Parva Liga
20.10.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Montana	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Montana - Cherno More Varna	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Montana	3:0 ✺
19.09.25	Montana - Spartak Varna	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Botev Plovdiv - Montana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TLLLW
- Arda Kardzhali
Bulgarian Parva Liga
20.10.25	Arda Kardzhali - Septemvri Sofia	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Arda Kardzhali	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Arda Kardzhali - Botev Vratsa	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna	0:1 ✺
18.09.25	Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.07.25	Arda Kardzhali - Montana	2:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.11.20	Arda Kardzhali - Montana	3:0
08.08.20	Montana - Arda Kardzhali	3:3
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
15.04.19	Arda Kardzhali - Montana	2:0
30.09.18	Montana - Arda Kardzhali	0:0

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