Match Info

Superliga - Round 13

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Monjasa Park (Fredericia)

Referee: Funder S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 5
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Slovenia	SportKlub 4


	Fredericia		Midtjylland

	1	X	2
	8	5.25	1.3	Watch
	7.7	5.35	1.34	Watch
	6.82	5.23	1.39
	6.16	5.04	1.43	Watch
	7.65	5.25	1.34	Watch
	5.5	4.6	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.97 ↑ (6)	5.12 ↑ (4.9)	1.38 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredericia
13.5%

Draw
18.3%

Midtjylland
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

19.4%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

18.8%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Fredericia - Midtjylland Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Fredericia (1.86) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Midtjylland will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Midtjylland will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Fredericia (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Midtjylland (votes: 14 - 93.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lamhauge M. (G) 12. Crone S. 3. Nygaard A. 5. Rieper F. 8. Jessen J. 16. Johannesen S. 18. Pyndt A. 11. Opondo M. 10. Simonsen E. 7. Marcussen G. 97. Buch O.	16. Olafsson E. (G) 4. Diao O. 3. Lee Han-Beom 22. Bech Sorensen M. 11. Osorio D. 21. Castillo D. 8. Billing P. 55. Bak V. 10. Cho Gue-Sung 58. Simsir A. 7. Franculino
Substitutes
14. Dahl A. 19. Dall E. 42. Green E. (G) 4. Kudsk J. 15. Ladefoged M. 13. Madsen W. 98. Mucolli A. 24. Pedersen K. 6. Winther F.	19. Bravo P. 20. Byskov V. 80. Dani Silva 6. Erlic M. 41. Gogorza M. 74. Junior Brumado 1. Lossl J. (G) 43. Mbabu K. 29. Paulinho
Coaches
Hansen M.	Tullberg M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', Simonsen E. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Franculino ⚽, Castillo D. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Cho Gue-Sung ⚽, Castillo D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Simsir A. ↓, Gogorza M. ↑,
46', Franculino ↓, Junior Brumado ↑,
46', Simonsen E. ↓, Mucolli A. ↑,
50', 0 - 3, Gogorza M. ⚽,
53', 0 - 4, Junior Brumado ⚽, Diao O. (A),
61', Billing P. ↓, Bravo P. ↑,
61', Osorio D. ↓, Mbabu K. ↑,
61', Johannesen S. ↓, Madsen W. ↑,
62', Crone S. 🟨,
63', Marcussen G. ↓, Dall E. ↑,
74', Pyndt A. ↓, Winther F. ↑,
74', Jessen J. ↓, Pedersen K. ↑,
80', Castillo D. ↓, Dani Silva ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 1.

Fredericia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Midtjylland is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fredericia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Fredericia has had a series of away games.

In this match, Midtjylland is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Fredericia: Kristjansson D. F. (Injury)

There will not play in Midtjylland: Chilufya E. (Inactive) Ejeheri O. (Surgery)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 1.4:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, Fredericia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fredericia
Danish Superliga
20.10.25	SønderjyskE - Fredericia	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Fredericia - Brøndby	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Viborg - Fredericia	2:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
24.09.25	Thisted - Fredericia	1:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
19.09.25	OB Odense - Fredericia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL
- FC Midtjylland
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Midtjylland	0:3 ✺
Danish Superliga
19.10.25	Midtjylland - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	5:1 ✺
05.10.25	Copenhagen - Midtjylland	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland	2:3 ✺
Danish Superliga
29.09.25	Midtjylland - Randers FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
10.08.25	Midtjylland - Fredericia	3:3
Club Friendly
30.01.24	Midtjylland - Fredericia	7:0
28.08.20	Midtjylland - Fredericia	5:1
30.01.20	Midtjylland - Fredericia	0:1
19.01.19	Midtjylland - Fredericia	4:1
30.06.18	Midtjylland - Fredericia	2:2
27.06.13	Fredericia - Midtjylland	2:2

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