Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: TSC Arena (Bačka Topola)

Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Maccabi Tel Aviv		Midtjylland

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.2
	3.1	3.8	2.22
	3.21	3.7	2.23
	3.55	2.73	2.40	Watch
	3.21	3.71	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.64)	3.51 ↓ (3.53)	2.27 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Tel Aviv
29.9%

Draw
27.5%

Midtjylland
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

27.4%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maccabi Tel Aviv's form might have worsened.

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Midtjylland's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maccabi Tel Aviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Midtjylland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.9%	3.3%	91.8%

Maccabi Tel Aviv - Midtjylland Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Maccabi Tel Aviv will win (votes: 3 - 5%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 55 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 84.7% – 98.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Midtjylland (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Midtjylland (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Midtjylland (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Midtjylland will win (32 of 34 users predict this - 94.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 37 Selected Experts predict this event. Maccabi Tel Aviv (votes: 1 - 2.7%). Midtjylland (votes: 35 - 94.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Mishpati R. (G) 6. Asante T. 5. Camara M. 13. Shlomo R. 77. Davida O. 10. Andrade K. 28. Sissokho I. 30. Noy I. 3. Revivo R. 19. Madmon E. 42. Peretz D. (C)	16. Olafsson E. (G) 4. Diao O. 6. Erlic M. 22. Bech Sorensen M. (C) 55. Bak V. 20. Byskov V. 8. Billing P. 21. Castillo D. 11. Osorio D. 10. Cho Gue-Sung 7. Franculino
Substitutes
34. Abu Farhi S. 41. Ben Hamo I. 21. Ben Harush N. 60. Ben Simon I. 1. Gerafi Y. (G) 14. Gropper D. 4. Heitor 23. Lederman B. 15. Malede Y. 22. Melika O. (G) 36. Shahar I. 29. Varela H.	19. Bravo P. 80. Dani Silva 90. Etim F. 13. Gabriel A. 41. Gogorza M. 3. Lee Han-Beom 1. Lossl J. (G) 43. Mbabu K. 29. Paulinho 58. Simsir A. 60. Ugboh M. (G)
Coaches
Lazetic Z.	Tullberg M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', Castillo D. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Franculino ⚽, Bak V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Castillo D. ↓, Bravo P. ↑,
46', Cho Gue-Sung ↓, Simsir A. ↑,
62', Andrade K. ↓, Abu Farhi S. ↑,
64', Byskov V. ↓, Mbabu K. ↑,
68', Billing P. 🟨,
68', Noy I. ↓, Lederman B. ↑,
69', Madmon E. ↓, Varela H. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Billing P. ⚽, Erlic M. (A),
72', Osorio D. ↓, Gogorza M. ↑,
75', Gogorza M. 🟨,
84', 0 - 3, Franculino ⚽, Simsir A. (A),
85', Billing P. ↓, Lee Han-Beom ↑,
87', Peretz D. ↓, Shahar I. ↑,
87', Davida O. ↓, Ben Simon I. ↑,
90+2', Lee Han-Beom 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - TSC Arena.

Recent performances by Maccabi Tel Aviv have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Midtjylland is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Maccabi Tel Aviv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Midtjylland: Ejeheri O. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Maccabi Tel Aviv: Melika O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Midtjylland: Chilufya E. (Inactive) Mbabu K. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Including home match between the teams, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Tel Aviv
Israeli Ligat haAl
05.10.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Maccabi Haifa	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Dinamo Zagreb	1:3 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
28.09.25	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	PAOK - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:0 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
20.09.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Jerusalem	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTTW
- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
19.10.25	Midtjylland - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	5:1 ✺
05.10.25	Copenhagen - Midtjylland	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland	2:3 ✺
Danish Superliga
29.09.25	Midtjylland - Randers FC	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Midtjylland - Sturm Graz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Midtjylland	0:2

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