Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: City Ground (Nottingham)

Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nottingham Forest		Midtjylland

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.5	5.5
	1.55	4.35	6.1
	1.56	4.55	6.39
	1.55	4.33	5.92	Watch
	1.5	4	5.75
	1.59	4.61	5.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)	4.39 ↑ (4.36)	5.84 ↑ (5.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
61.8%

Draw
21.8%

Midtjylland
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

21.8%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

20.4%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	13%	13%

Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 34 - 77.3%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 5 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 64.9% – 89.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Nottingham (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Nottingham (1.13) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +1.5 - Midtjylland (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nottingham Forest will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Midtjylland (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Sels M. (G) 23. Cunha 5. Murillo 4. Morato 34. Aina O. 8. Anderson E. 16. Dominguez N. 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 21. Hutchinson O. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 19. Igor Jesus	16. Olafsson E. (G) 4. Diao O. 6. Erlic M. 22. Bech Sorensen M. (C) 43. Mbabu K. 21. Castillo D. 8. Billing P. 19. Bravo P. 55. Bak V. 74. Junior Brumado 58. Simsir A.
Substitutes
44. Abbott Z. 29. Bakwa D. 18. Gunn A. (G) 20. Lucca L. 24. McAtee J. 31. Milenkovic N. 6. Sangare I. 3. Williams N. 67. Willows K. (G) 22. Yates R.	20. Byskov V. 14. Chilufya E. 10. Cho Gue-Sung 13. Gabriel A. 39. Junior Ze 3. Lee Han-Beom 1. Lossl J. (G) 60. Ugboh M. (G) 17. Uhre M.
Coaches
Pereira V.	Tullberg M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Cunha ↓, Milenkovic N. ↑,
33', Morato 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Castillo D. ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
46', Morato ↓, Williams N. ↑,
57', Simsir A. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
57', Junior Brumado ↓, Cho Gue-Sung ↑,
59', Mbabu K. ↓, Lee Han-Beom ↑,
69', Dominguez N. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
69', Igor Jesus ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Cho Gue-Sung ⚽, Diao O. (A),
82', Aina O. ↓, Bakwa D. ↑,
90+4', Tullberg M. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Recent form of Nottingham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Midtjylland is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Midtjylland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nottingham is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Nottingham: Awoniyi T. (Inactive) Boly W. (Knee Injury) John Victor (Knee Injury) Netz L. (Inactive) Ortega S. (Calf Injury) Savona N. (Knee Injury) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury) da Silva Moreira E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Midtjylland: Brynhildsen O. (Knee Injury) Ejeheri O. (Inactive) Franculino (Knee Injury) Gogorza M. (Injury) Osorio D. (Yellow Cards) Uhre M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Lucca L. (Ankle Injury) Ndoye D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Midtjylland: Djabi A. (Inactive) Paulinho (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nottingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Including home match between the teams, Nottingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
04.03.26	Manchester City - Nottingham Forest	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
22.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Fenerbahçe - Nottingham Forest	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLLLW
- FC Midtjylland
Danish Landspokal Cup
08.03.26	Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
01.03.26	Midtjylland - Brøndby	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Silkeborg IF - Midtjylland	0:4 ✺
15.02.26	OB Odense - Midtjylland	1:4 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
12.02.26	AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland	2:3

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