Match Info

Superliga - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: MCH Arena (Herning)

Referee: Maae J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 3
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Midtjylland		Randers FC

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.5	7	Watch
	1.44	4.60	6.25
	1.48	4.3	6.3
	1.45	5.03	7.01
	1.43	4.93	6.68	Watch
	1.41	4.9	6.7
	1.42	4.75	6.54	Watch
	1.43	4.8	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.48)	4.73 ↑ (4.43)	6.64 ↑ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Midtjylland
65.9%

Draw
19.9%

Randers FC
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

21.1%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

20%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Randers FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Randers FC than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	6.2%	6.2%

Midtjylland - Randers FC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Midtjylland will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olafsson E. (G) 8. Billing P. 3. Jensen M. 22. Sorensen M. B. 11. Osorio D. 5. Kristensen R. (C) 19. Bravo P. 29. Watjen K. 27. Johannesen S. 18. Iheanacho S. 10. Cho Gue-Sung	32. Storch J. (G) 24. Hansen S. 3. Hoegh D. 4. Dammers W. (C) 44. Dyhr N. 17. Greve M. 8. Pedersen L. 7. Themsen M. 11. Mahmoud E. 15. Sjolstad M. 77. Junker K.
Substitutes
25. Bakker N. (G) 15. Beni D. 20. Byskov V. 21. Castillo D. 38. Emefile J. 6. Erlic M. 90. Etim F. 7. Franculino 13. Gabriel A.	38. Albaek M. 9. Al Hamawi A. 33. Edudzi C. 1. Izzo P. (G) 5. Jones O. 26. Lux H. 30. Sankoh M. 31. Sommer F. 19. Toure M.
Coaches
Tullberg M.	Bertelsen R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Osorio D. ⚽,
40', Jensen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Storch J. ↓, Izzo P. ↑,
46', Billing P. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
54', Iheanacho S. ↓, Etim F. ↑,
54', Watjen K. ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
56', Pedersen L. 🟨,
60', Jensen M. ↓, Erlic M. ↑,
62', Junker K. ↓, Sankoh M. ↑,
75', Mahmoud E. 🟨,
78', Sjolstad M. ↓, Edudzi C. ↑,
78', Hansen S. ↓, Sommer F. ↑,
84', Johannesen S. ↓, Beni D. ↑,
84', Mahmoud E. ↓, Toure M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 3.

Midtjylland is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Randers's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Midtjylland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Midtjylland is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Midtjylland: Bak V. (Inactive) Diao O. (Foot Injury) Gogorza M. (Hip Injury) Junior Brumado (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Randers: Bjorkengren J. (Inactive) Caddy W. (Injury) Lissens L. (Injury) Orn B. (Injury) Sankoh M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Randers: Izzo P. (Transfer negotiations)

We predict that Midtjylland will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:21. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Midtjylland won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:14. (average 2:1.4).

Outrights of Danish Superliga for now

Midtjylland: 30.2% Randers FC: 0.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Midtjylland	9	5	4	0	17:9	8	19
8	Randers FC	9	3	1	5	11:14	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Midtjylland - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 63.15%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Midtjylland
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Midtjylland - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
16.08.26	Lyngby BK - Midtjylland	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Midtjylland - Bohemians Dublin	3:2 ✺
06.08.26	Bohemians Dublin - Midtjylland	0:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
02.08.26	Midtjylland - Horsens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWWW
- Randers FC
Danish Landspokal Cup
19.08.26	ASA Aarhus - Randers FC	0:4 ✺
Danish Superliga
16.08.26	Randers FC - Copenhagen	0:4 ✺
09.08.26	Randers FC - Lyngby BK	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Nordsjælland - Randers FC	1:0 ✺
27.07.26	Randers FC - Silkeborg IF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
09.11.25	Randers FC - Midtjylland	0:2
29.09.25	Midtjylland - Randers FC	2:1
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Midtjylland - Randers FC	2:3
Danish Superliga
25.05.25	Midtjylland - Randers FC	3:2
04.04.25	Randers FC - Midtjylland	2:1
16.03.25	Midtjylland - Randers FC	4:2
22.09.24	Randers FC - Midtjylland	2:2

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