Match Info

Superliga - Relegation Group - Round 23

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Monjasa Park (Fredericia)

Referee: Graagaard L. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Fredericia		Randers FC

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.8	1.96	Watch
	3.3	3.65	2.05
	3.38	3.85	2.09
	3.05	3.85	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2
	3.34	3.85	2.03	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.32)	3.71 ↑ (3.6)	2.05 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredericia
29%

Draw
25.2%

Randers FC
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

26.2%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

27.9%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Randers FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Randers FC than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	15.4%	61.5%

Fredericia - Randers FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fredericia will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Randers will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Randers: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fredericia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Randers (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Fredericia (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Randers (1.40) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Fredericia (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Randers (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Green E. (G) 12. Crone S. 3. Nygaard A. 5. Rieper F. (C) 8. Jessen J. 17. Kristjansson D. F. 6. Winther F. 16. Johannesen S. 10. Simonsen E. 21. Lindekilde J. 25. Etim F.	1. Izzo P. (G) 24. Hansen S. 3. Hoegh D. 4. Dammers W. (C) 44. Dyhr N. 11. Mahmoud E. 8. Pedersen L. 6. Bjorkengren J. 17. Greve M. 7. Themsen M. 10. Caddy W.
Substitutes
14. Dahl A. 9. Egelund P. 23. Eriksen M. (G) 29. Hell M. 4. Kudsk J. 7. Marcussen G. 11. Opondo M. 24. Pedersen K. 18. Pyndt A.	33. Edudzi C. 30. Klidje T. 14. Lauenborg F. 2. Lissens L. 28. Romer A. 25. Seck O. 18. Shamoun N. 15. Sjolstad M. 32. Storch J. (G)
Coaches
Hansen M.	Bertelsen R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Greve M. ⚽, Mahmoud E. (A),
12', 0 - 2, Caddy W. ⚽,
45', Jessen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kristjansson D. F. ↓, Pyndt A. ↑,
52', Dammers W. 🟨,
61', Jessen J. ↓, Dahl A. ↑,
62', Johannesen S. ↓, Marcussen G. ↑,
62', Lindekilde J. ↓, Opondo M. ↑,
68', Themsen M. ↓, Romer A. ↑,
78', Simonsen E. 🟨,
79', 0 - 3, Mahmoud E. ⚽, Pedersen L. (A),
80', Mahmoud E. ↓, Lissens L. ↑,
80', Caddy W. ↓, Seck O. ↑,
82', Simonsen E. ↓, Hansborg E. ↑,
86', Greve M. ↓, Lauenborg F. ↑,
86', Dyhr N. ↓, Sjolstad M. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 2.

Fredericia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Randers is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Randers might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Randers: Jones O. (Knee Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Fredericia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of Danish Superliga for now

Randers FC: 0.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Randers FC	9	3	1	5	11:14	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Randers FC - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.49%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fredericia
Danish Superliga
01.03.26	Fredericia - Silkeborg IF	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Randers FC - Fredericia	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Fredericia - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Fredericia	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.02.26	Horsens - Fredericia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.4 WWTWW
- Randers FC
Danish Superliga
01.03.26	Copenhagen - Randers FC	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Randers FC - Fredericia	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Randers FC - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Brøndby - Randers FC	0:0 ✺
Atlantic Cup
30.01.26	Randers FC - Rosenborg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
22.02.26	Randers FC - Fredericia	1:2
24.08.25	Fredericia - Randers FC	1:0
Club Friendly
24.01.23	Randers FC - Fredericia	2:1
09.07.22	Randers FC - Fredericia	1:1
17.01.20	Fredericia - Randers FC	2:2
22.01.19	Randers FC - Fredericia	2:2
31.01.14	Randers FC - Fredericia	4:0

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