Match Info

Superliga - Round 20

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Monjasa Park (Fredericia)

Referee: Maae J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Sweden	Viaplay


	Fredericia		AGF Aarhus

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.75	1.39	Watch
	6.7	4.85	1.41	Watch
	6.74	5.27	1.42
	6.76	5.29	1.4	Watch
	6	4.6	1.4
	6.63	4.95	1.4	Watch
	7	5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.58 ↑ (6.39)	4.96 ↑ (4.75)	1.4 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredericia
14.2%

Draw
18.9%

AGF Aarhus
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

19.4%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	18.2%	72.7%

Fredericia - AGF Aarhus Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fredericia will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Aarhus will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarhus: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Aarhus (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Birkso V. (G) 12. Crone S. 3. Nygaard A. 5. Rieper F. 8. Jessen J. 16. Johannesen S. 6. Winther F. 10. Simonsen E. 13. Madsen W. 7. Marcussen G. 25. Etim F.	1. Hansen J. (G) 19. Kahl E. 3. Dalsgaard H. 2. Beijmo F. 11. Links G. 20. Kristjansson T. 4. Knudsen M. 29. Carstensen R. 10. Arnstad K. 9. Mortensen P. 31. Bech T.
Substitutes
14. Dahl A. 19. Dall E. 42. Green E. (G) 20. Haarbo D. 29. Hansborg E. 15. Ladefoged M. 21. Lindekilde J. 24. Pedersen K. 18. Pyndt A.	39. Emmery F. 55. Haugstrup O. 21. Hedenstad M. (G) 8. Jorgensen S. 14. Molgaard T. 13. Serra J. 27. Tchamche S. 5. Tingager F. 17. Yakob K.
Coaches
Hansen M.	Poulsen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Johannesen S. ⚽, Simonsen E. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Arnstad K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Arnstad K. ↓, Yakob K. ↑,
57', Crone S. 🟨,
58', Simonsen E. ↓, Lindekilde J. ↑,
58', Johannesen S. ↓, Pyndt A. ↑,
64', Kristjansson T. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
75', Crone S. ↓, Pedersen K. ↑,
76', Mortensen P. ↓, Serra J. ↑,
76', Carstensen R. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
78', Winther F. 🟨,
86', Jessen J. 🟨,
88', Madsen W. ↓, Dall E. ↑,
88', Marcussen G. ↓, Hansborg E. ↑,
90+1', Bech T. ↓, Tchamche S. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).

Fredericia is Superliga (Relegation Group )

Aarhus is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Fredericia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aarhus is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Fredericia: Egelund P. (Injury)

There will not play in Aarhus: Poulsen N. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Fredericia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Outrights of Danish Superliga for now

Aarhus: 0.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Aarhus	9	0	5	4	11:17	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fredericia
Danish Superliga
09.02.26	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Fredericia	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.02.26	Horsens - Fredericia	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	Fredericia - Skive IK	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Fredericia - Aarhus Fremad	4:4 ✺
10.01.26	Nordsjælland - Fredericia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWTTT
- AGF Aarhus
Danish Landspokal Cup
12.02.26	AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland	0:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
09.02.26	AGF Aarhus - OB Odense	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.01.26	Elfsborg - AGF Aarhus	0:1 ✺
19.01.26	AGF Aarhus - Kryvbas	4:2 ✺
15.01.26	Hobro - AGF Aarhus	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
31.08.25	AGF Aarhus - Fredericia	4:1
Club Friendly
01.07.23	Fredericia - AGF Aarhus	0:2
01.12.22	AGF Aarhus - Fredericia	0:1
Danish Landspokal Cup
21.09.17	Fredericia - AGF Aarhus	1:0
Danish 1 Division
14.05.15	AGF Aarhus - Fredericia	0:1
30.11.14	Fredericia - AGF Aarhus	1:2
28.08.14	AGF Aarhus - Fredericia	2:1

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