Match Info

Date: 16 February 2022, Wednesday


	Frederiquense		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	7.5	3.75	1.44
	7.5	3.8	1.46
	6.75	3.65	1.45	Watch
	6.6	3.85	1.43
	9.07	3.81	1.42
	6.5	3.6	1.47
	7.1	4.15	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.29 ↑ (6.01)	3.8 ↑ (3.6)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frederiquense
12.5%

Draw
24.1%

Grêmio
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

25%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

15.4%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frederiquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frederiquense than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Frederiquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-26.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Frederiquense - Grêmio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Gaucho (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Frederiquense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grêmio is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Frederiquense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Frederiquense have a series of guest games.

In this match Grêmio is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Frederiquense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Frederiquense de Futebol
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
12.02.22	Aimoré - Frederiquense	2:0 ✺
09.02.22	São Luiz - Frederiquense	1:0 ✺
06.02.22	Frederiquense - Juventude	2:1 ✺
02.02.22	Ypiranga - Frederiquense	3:1 ✺
29.01.22	Internacional RS - Frederiquense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWLL
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
13.02.22	Grêmio - Juventude	1:1 ✺
09.02.22	Aimoré - Grêmio	1:2 ✺
06.02.22	Grêmio - Guarany de Bagé	2:0 ✺
02.02.22	Grêmio - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:1 ✺
29.01.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
31.01.15	Grêmio - Frederiquense	3:0

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