The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grêmio 41%
Draw 28%
Athletico Paranaense 31%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.3%
28.2%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
28.7%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Grêmio - Athletico Paranaense Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 17th in the Relegation - Serie B and 4th in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Grêmio may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Grêmio has recorded 11 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:19 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Grêmio against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:4 goals (averaging 1.3:0.4 per game).
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