Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 21

Date: 27 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad)

Referee: Koloy M. (Nor)


	Fredrikstad		Hødd

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	10	Watch
	1.36	4.6	8
	1.35	4.73	10.1
	1.36	4	7
	1.36	4.65	9.3	Watch
	1.35	4.4	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.41)	4.45 ↑ (4.1)	8.8 ↑ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad
68.5%

Draw
20.9%

Hødd
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

21.9%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

21%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Hødd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hødd than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Fredrikstad - Hødd Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jensen H. (G) 3. Skaret B. 26. Nielsen M. 22. Woledzi M. 12. Metcalfe P. 7. Hendriksson B. 19. Magnusson J. (C) 14. Bjartalid J. 4. Molde S. 9. Johansen H. 29. Aga O.	25. Andersen M. (G) 32. Sundnes S. 77. Alm M. (C) 6. Romo Lillo T. 24. Larsen E. 8. Okland S. 20. Skeide S. 11. Kallevag T. 3. Bonde R. 7. Hjelmeseth R. 18. Morgado B.
Substitutes
11. Alba R. 20. Asheim H. 18. Begby L. 2. Bjorkstrom T. 28. Hermansen I. B. 16. Konte A. 25. Langbraten O. (G) 27. Lassen M. 23. Maden M.	1. Alme O. (G) 22. Brandal N. 21. Mogensen G. 17. Tosse K. 14. Urnes H. 28. Ziko R.
Coaches
Thomassen M.	Dragsten J.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 2.

Fredrikstad is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hødd is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fredrikstad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fredrikstad is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fredrikstad to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Fredrikstad won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.08.23	Kongsvinger - Fredrikstad	1:2 ✺
20.08.23	Fredrikstad - Kristiansund	4:1 ✺
13.08.23	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Fredrikstad	2:1 ✺
09.08.23	Fredrikstad - Bryne	2:1 ✺
04.08.23	Skeid - Fredrikstad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWW
- IL Hødd
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.08.23	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Hødd	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Hødd - Skeid	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Bryne - Hødd	2:1 ✺
05.08.23	Mjøndalen - Hødd	3:0 ✺
08.07.23	Hødd - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.05.23	Hødd - Fredrikstad	1:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
10.10.20	Fredrikstad - Hødd	1:3
18.07.20	Fredrikstad - Hødd	1:0
29.09.19	Hødd - Fredrikstad	1:2
14.04.19	Fredrikstad - Hødd	1:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
12.09.16	Hødd - Fredrikstad	2:2
28.05.16	Fredrikstad - Hødd	1:0

Upcoming Matches