Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 20

Date: 23 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Gjemselund Stadion (Kongsvinger)

Referee: Lien M. (Nor)


	Kongsvinger		Fredrikstad

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.9	Watch
	2.37	3.25	2.7
	2.4	3.25	2.85
	2.49	3.35	2.91
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.42	3.48	2.8
	2.42	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.19)	3.3 ↑ (3.28)	2.81 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kongsvinger
38.8%

Draw
28.1%

Fredrikstad
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

26.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kongsvinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kongsvinger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	28.6%	35.7%

Kongsvinger - Fredrikstad Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kongsvinger will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kongsvinger: 10.6% – 60.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stromberg A. (G) 16. Hellan M. 5. Holme F. 10. Gerson L. 12. Haakenstad M. 23. Vinjor M. 6. Holter H. (C) 8. Moberg V. 11. Andersen M. 18. Holtan J. 26. Myrlid E.	1. Jensen H. (G) 6. Aukland P. 26. Nielsen M. 22. Woledzi M. 12. Metcalfe P. 4. Molde S. 13. Sorlokk S. 7. Hendriksson B. 19. Magnusson J. (C) 11. Alba R. 14. Bjartalid J.
Substitutes
3. Grodas V. 20. Grundt J. 9. Guven A. 14. Haga M. 19. Jahr K. 22. Langrekken L. 21. Lysgard D. 31. Smedplass A. (G) 7. Taylor E.	29. Aga O. 20. Asheim H. 18. Begby L. 2. Bjorkstrom T. 9. Johansen H. 16. Konte A. 25. Langbraten O. (G) 27. Lassen M. 3. Skaret B.
Coaches
Hansen V.	Thomassen M.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kongsvinger won 1.

Recent matches Kongsvinger is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fredrikstad is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fredrikstad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Kongsvinger won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Kongsvinger won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
19.08.23	Sogndal - Kongsvinger	3:3 ✺
13.08.23	Kongsvinger - Åsane	3:1 ✺
09.08.23	Ranheim - Kongsvinger	1:4 ✺
06.08.23	Kongsvinger - Raufoss	1:3 ✺
09.07.23	Fredrikstad - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWLT
- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.08.23	Fredrikstad - Kristiansund	4:1 ✺
13.08.23	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Fredrikstad	2:1 ✺
09.08.23	Fredrikstad - Bryne	2:1 ✺
04.08.23	Skeid - Fredrikstad	1:2 ✺
09.07.23	Fredrikstad - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
09.07.23	Fredrikstad - Kongsvinger	1:1
Club Friendly
04.02.23	Kongsvinger - Fredrikstad	0:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.10.22	Kongsvinger - Fredrikstad	0:1
11.07.22	Fredrikstad - Kongsvinger	0:0
24.09.17	Kongsvinger - Fredrikstad	3:2
20.06.17	Fredrikstad - Kongsvinger	1:1
23.10.16	Fredrikstad - Kongsvinger	1:1

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