Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 16

Date: 4 August 2023, Friday

Location: Nordre Åsen kunstgress (Oslo)

Referee: Hafezi M. (Nor)


	Skeid		Fredrikstad

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.83
	3.7	3.55	1.91
	4.16	3.51	1.92
	3.6	3.3	1.83
	4.05	3.66	1.86	Watch
	3.8	3.45	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.04)	3.48 ↑ (3.31)	1.87 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skeid
23.9%

Draw
26.6%

Fredrikstad
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

27.8%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

26.6%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skeid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skeid's form might have worsened.

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fredrikstad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fredrikstad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.1%	0%	96.9%

Skeid - Fredrikstad Predictions

Users Predictions: Fredrikstad will win (31 of 32 users predict this - 96.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.86% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nilsen S. (G) 29. Bojang S. 4. Steiring P. 24. Johansen T. 11. Hickson D. 17. Altai H. 2. Naustdal T. 22. Aas S. 27. Kvia-Egeskog S. 9. Buduson J. (C) 8. Melchior M.	1. Jensen H. (G) 6. Aukland P. 26. Nielsen M. 22. Woledzi M. 12. Metcalfe P. 13. Stensland F. 19. Magnusson J. (C) 7. Hendriksson B. 4. Molde S. 14. Bjartalid J. 29. Aga O.
Substitutes
19. Diallo O. 16. Effiom M. 3. Flo F. 1. Kvarekval L. (G) 7. Ness U. 6. Nordengen E. 39. Rise B. 13. Stensrud A. 20. Vinje F.	11. Alba R. 20. Asheim H. 18. Begby L. 2. Bjorkstrom T. 28. Hermansen I. B. 16. Konte A. 25. Langbraten O. (G) 10. Lima L. 3. Skaret B.
Coaches
Holme G.	Thomassen M.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Skeid won 0.

Skeid is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fredrikstad is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Fredrikstad have a series of home games.

Fredrikstad will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Skeid won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Skeid won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
09.07.23	Åsane - Skeid	0:0 ✺
01.07.23	Skeid - Sogndal	2:4 ✺
25.06.23	Raufoss - Skeid	1:0 ✺
11.06.23	Skeid - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	0:4 ✺
04.06.23	Skeid - Bryne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLLW
- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
09.07.23	Fredrikstad - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
02.07.23	Fredrikstad - Ranheim	4:0 ✺
24.06.23	Sogndal - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	Fredrikstad - Start	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Fredrikstad - Viking Stavanger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
07.05.23	Fredrikstad - Skeid	0:0
Club Friendly
26.03.23	Fredrikstad - Skeid	1:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
17.09.22	Skeid - Fredrikstad	3:3
16.05.22	Fredrikstad - Skeid	2:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
14.11.20	Skeid - Fredrikstad	0:0
01.08.20	Fredrikstad - Skeid	2:1
Club Friendly
16.02.18	Fredrikstad - Skeid	0:0

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