Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 13

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad)

Referee: Nilsen O. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, SportKlub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
World	Onefootball


	Fredrikstad		Molde

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.75	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.7
	2.48	3.35	2.78	Watch
	2.69	3.35	2.86
				Watch
	2.62	3.25	2.62
	2.53	3.41	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.65)	3.34 ↓ (3.5)	2.75 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad
37.2%

Draw
28.3%

Molde
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

27.6%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.6%	17.2%	55.2%

Fredrikstad - Molde Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 5 - 20%). Molde will win (votes: 16 - 64%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molde: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Fredrikstad (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Molde (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Fredrikstad (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Molde (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Fredrikstad (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Molde (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Fischer J. (G) 5. Rafn S. (C) 12. Fredriksen U. 22. Woledzi M. 16. Eid D. 11. Metcalfe P. 6. Owusu L. 19. Shein R. R. 4. Molde S. 9. Holten E. 20. Ohlenschlaeger O.	1. Karlstrom J. (G) 21. Linnes M. (C) 3. Oyvann C. 19. Haugan E. 26. Kabini S. 16. Breivik E. 17. Daehli M. 15. Kaasa M. 5. Hestad E. 8. Gulbrandsen F. 23. Granaas S.
Substitutes
18. Begby L. 14. Bjartalid J. 40. Granaas E. 2. Okpaleke K. 1. Ovretveit O. (G) 3. Skaret B. 23. Skogvold H. 31. Solberg E. 13. Sorlokk S.	9. Abdullai J. 6. Amundsen I. 14. Berisha V. 2. Bjornbak M. 27. Daga D. 7. Eikrem M. 10. Enggaard M. 34. McDermott S. (G) 18. Stenevik H.
Coaches
Hagen A.	Hogmo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Hestad E. ⚽, Oyvann C. (A),
9', Owusu L. 🟨,
44', Kaasa M. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Kaasa M. ↓, Eikrem M. ↑,
58', Shein R. R. ↓, Sorlokk S. ↑,
58', Owusu L. ↓, Skogvold H. ↑,
61', Gulbrandsen F. ↓, Berisha V. ↑,
61', Hestad E. ↓, Stenevik H. ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Rafn S. (Own goal),
72', Holten E. ↓, Bjartalid J. ↑,
77', Linnes M. ↓, Daga D. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Haugan E. (Own goal),
85', Kabini S. 🟨,
86', 2 - 2, Ohlenschlaeger O. ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, Ohlenschlaeger O. ⚽, Skogvold H. (A),
89', Oyvann C. ↓, Bjornbak M. ↑,
90+2', Eid D. ↓, Skaret B. ↑,
90+8', Haugan E. 🟨,
90+9', 4 - 2, Daga D. (Own goal),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Fredrikstad: Faraas B. (Leg Injury) Kvile S. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Molde: Eriksen K. (Knee Injury) Kabini S. (Inactive) Zady C. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Molde: Amundsen I. (Inactive) Eikrem M. (Groin Injury) Hestad E. (Injury) Linnes M. (Injury) Nyheim G. (Back Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Fredrikstad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
05.07.25	Vålerenga - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Fredrikstad - Tromsø	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Viking Stavanger - Fredrikstad	3:0 ✺
01.06.25	Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08	1:1 ✺
28.05.25	Fredrikstad - Rosenborg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLTL
- Molde FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
05.07.25	Tromsø - Molde	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Molde - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:3 ✺
22.06.25	Vålerenga - Molde	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.06.25	Molde - Värnamo	2:3 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
01.06.25	Molde - Viking Stavanger	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian NM Cup
07.12.24	Fredrikstad - Molde	1:0 penalties
Norwegian Eliteserien
14.09.24	Molde - Fredrikstad	6:1
13.07.24	Fredrikstad - Molde	0:0
18.11.12	Fredrikstad - Molde	0:2
16.05.12	Molde - Fredrikstad	2:0

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