Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO SERGIPANO - ROUND 9

Date: 15 March 2023, Wednesday


	Frei Paulistano		Estanciano

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.5
	1.87	3.34	3.6
	1.88	3.52	3.7
	1.85	3.5	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)	3.44 ↑ (3.43)	3.61 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frei Paulistano
48.7%

Draw
26.3%

Estanciano
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.3%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

27.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frei Paulistano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Estanciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frei Paulistano than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estanciano than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 8 in the zone Campeonato Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Frei Paulistano is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Estanciano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Frei Paulistano have a series of guest games.

Frei Paulistano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Frei Paulistano
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
05.03.23	Itabaiana - Frei Paulistano	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Lagarto - Frei Paulistano	4:0 ✺
18.02.23	Frei Paulistano - Confiança	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Dorense - Frei Paulistano	1:0 ✺
08.02.23	Sergipe - Frei Paulistano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLLLL
- Estanciano EC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
05.03.23	Estanciano - América de Propriá	1:1 ✺
28.02.23	Falcon - Estanciano	4:1 ✺
18.02.23	Dorense - Estanciano	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Estanciano - Atlético Gloriense	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	Confiança - Estanciano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLWWL

Frei Paulistano - Estanciano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide