The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lagarto 70.3%
Draw 19.6%
Frei Paulistano 10.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.8%
18.2%
10.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
The chances for Frei Paulistano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Lagarto - Frei Paulistano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Campeonato Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lagarto won 4.
Lagarto is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Frei Paulistano has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Lagarto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Lagarto is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Lagarto won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Lagarto won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.