Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA SUDWEST - ROUND 25

Date: 18 April 2023, Tuesday


	Freiberg		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.46
	5	4.3	1.45
	5.79	3.95	1.57
	5	3.4	1.63
	6	3.92	1.53
	5.8	3.9	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↑ (3.75)	3.91 ↑ (3.35)	1.53 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiberg
16.6%

Draw
23.4%

Ulm 1846
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

26.6%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

26.2%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiberg's form might have worsened.

Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulm 1846's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ulm 1846, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Freiberg - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Users Predictions: Ulm 1846 will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

Recent matches Freiberg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ulm is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ulm is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiberg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Freiberg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SGV Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
15.04.23	Bahlinger - Freiberg	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Freiberg - Mainz II	4:0 ✺
05.04.23	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiberg	4:0 ✺
25.03.23	VfB Stuttgart II - Freiberg	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Freiberg - Astoria Walldorf	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLTT
- Ulm 1846
German Regionalliga Sudwest
15.04.23	Ulm 1846 - Homburg	0:0 ✺
08.04.23	Balingen - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
04.04.23	Ulm 1846 - VfR Aalen	0:0 ✺
25.03.23	Ulm 1846 - FSV Frankfurt	1:4 ✺
18.03.23	Rot-Weiß Koblenz - Ulm 1846	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
18.09.22	Ulm 1846 - Freiberg	2:0
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
19.03.16	Freiberg - Ulm 1846	1:2
05.09.15	Ulm 1846 - Freiberg	2:2
02.04.15	Freiberg - Ulm 1846	3:1
22.10.14	Ulm 1846 - Freiberg	1:0

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