Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 36

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Dreisamstadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Freiburg II		Jahn Regensburg

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.6	Watch
	5.25	3.9	1.6
	5	4	1.62
	5.05	4.05	1.7
	5.49	4.11	1.62
	5.5	3.8	1.53
	5.05	3.89	1.6	Watch
	5.2	3.9	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.22 ↑ (4.97)	3.96 ↓ (4)	1.61 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
18%

Draw
23.7%

Jahn Regensburg
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

23.3%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

22.4%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Jahn Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Freiburg II - Jahn Regensburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Freiburg II will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Regensburg will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Regensburg: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Sauter N. (C) 17. Fallmann P. 27. Lang N. 25. Bichsel J. 3. Lungwitz A. 5. Rudlin F. 13. Muller S. 8. Lienhard P. 42. Marino L. 36. Ambros L. 18. Al Ghaddioui H.	1. Gebhardt F. (G) 6. Saller B. 13. Bittroff A. 16. Breunig L. 7. Schonfelder O. 8. Geipl A. (C) 5. Bulic R. 11. Faber K. 10. Viet C. 27. Kother D. 20. Ganaus N.
Substitutes
19. Bouebari F. 6. Braun-Schumacher S. 41. Manzambi J. 16. Rosenfelder M. 38. Schneller L. (G) 46. Sturm Y. 43. Wagner N. 20. Worner M. 48. Yilmaz B.	4. Ballas F. 25. Bauer J. 12. Cuk L. M. (G) 21. Eisenhuth T. 3. Hein B. 29. Huth E. 31. Meyer M. 30. Mustafa V. 14. Ziegele R.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Enochs J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Lungwitz A. ⚽, Ambros L. (A),
42', Saller B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Muller S. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
46', Geipl A. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
48', Rudlin F. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Viet C. ⚽, Kother D. (A),
64', Ambros L. 🟨,
67', Marino L. 🟨,
70', Ambros L. ↓, Manzambi J. ↑,
71', Lungwitz A. ↓, Yilmaz B. ↑,
72', Saller B. ↓, Meyer M. ↑,
73', Manzambi J. 🟨,
75', Fallmann P. 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Manzambi J. ⚽,
78', Fallmann P. ↓, Sturm Y. ↑,
84', Faber K. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
84', Bulic R. ↓, Ziegele R. ↑,
84', Schonfelder O. ↓, Hein B. ↑,
85', Sturm Y. 🟨,
88', 3 - 1, Marino L. ⚽,
89', 🟨,
90+3', Hein B. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Freiburg II is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Regensburg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Regensburg is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Freiburg II won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
28.04.24	Freiburg II - Ulm 1846	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Preußen Münster - Freiburg II	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Freiburg II - Dynamo Dresden	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Freiburg II	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Freiburg II - 1860 München	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLTLW
- Jahn Regensburg
German 3 Bundesliga
27.04.24	Jahn Regensburg - Dynamo Dresden	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Ulm 1846 - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Jahn Regensburg - 1860 München	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Preußen Münster - Jahn Regensburg	1:3 ✺
30.03.24	Jahn Regensburg - Hallescher	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
03.12.23	Jahn Regensburg - Freiburg II	3:2

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