Match Info

3. Liga - Round 7

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm)

Referee: Schulz T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Ulm 1846		Jahn Regensburg

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2	3.5	3.4
	2.04	3.69	3.58
	4.55	3.62	1.73	Watch
	2.01	3.46	3.38	Watch
	1.97	3.6	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.95)	3.55 ↓ (3.65)	3.17 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
40.9%

Draw
27.9%

Jahn Regensburg
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

25.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

21.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulm 1846's form might have worsened.

Jahn Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Ulm 1846 - Jahn Regensburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Regensburg (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Regensburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Ortag C. (G) 28. Scholze M. 21. Seegert M. 15. David J. 32. Kolle N. 23. Brandt M. 14. Dressel D. 17. Besong P. 25. Loder E. 43. Dajaku L. 49. Becker A.	1. Gebhardt F. (G) 14. Ziegele R. 4. Strauss F. 37. Wurm L. 22. Stolze S. 31. Matzler L. 29. Fein A. 26. Bauer B. 11. Eichinger N. 18. Forkel D. 13. Dietz F.
Substitutes
34. Boller J. 11. Chessa D. 4. Etse J. 10. Martinovic D. 19. Meier J. 9. Roser L. 1. Schmitt M. (G) 8. Westermeier B.	19. Asante D. 10. Beckhoff P. 8. Geipl A. 9. Hottmann E. 5. Muller P. 25. Oliveira N. 6. Saller B. 33. Seidel N. 32. Weidinger A. (G)
Coaches
Lechleiter R.	Wimmer M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Bauer B. ⚽,
18', Fein A. 🟨,
34', Brandt M. 🟨,
38', Ziegele R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Stolze S. ↓, Saller B. ↑,
46', Dietz F. ↓, Hottmann E. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Loder E. ⚽, Besong P. (A),
62', 2 - 1, Becker A. ⚽, Kolle N. (A),
65', Dressel D. 🟨,
66', Besong P. ↓, Gorlich L. ↑,
67', Matzler L. ↓, Muller P. ↑,
77', Becker A. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
77', Brandt M. ↓, Westermeier B. ↑,
78', Bauer B. 🟨,
79', Dajaku L. ↓, Anderson Brown E. ↑,
79', Bauer B. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
82', Seegert M. ↓, Boller J. ↑,
86', Fein A. ↓, Seidel N. ↑,
87', Scholze M. 🟨,
89', Saller B. 🟥,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Ulm might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ulm won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulm won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga
16.09.25	Saarbrücken - Ulm 1846	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Alemannia Aachen - Ulm 1846	1:3 ✺
31.08.25	Ulm 1846 - Waldhof Mannheim	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Duisburg - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Ulm 1846 - Elversberg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL
- Jahn Regensburg
German 3 Bundesliga
16.09.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Jahn Regensburg	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Jahn Regensburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:3 ✺
29.08.25	Viktoria Köln - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Jahn Regensburg - Schweinfurt	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Jahn Regensburg - Köln	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
26.01.25	Ulm 1846 - Jahn Regensburg	5:1
09.08.24	Jahn Regensburg - Ulm 1846	1:0
German 3 Bundesliga
21.04.24	Ulm 1846 - Jahn Regensburg	1:0
12.11.23	Jahn Regensburg - Ulm 1846	2:0

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