Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 33

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Dreisamstadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Hussein R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport


	Freiburg II		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	8.5	5.25	1.29	Watch
	9	5.25	1.31
	10	5.5	1.28	Watch
	9.44	5.72	1.3
	9.54	5.74	1.31
	9	5	1.25
	9.5	5.27	1.25
	8.8	5.2	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.22 ↑ (6.43)	5.37 ↑ (4.41)	1.29 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
10.1%

Draw
17.4%

Dynamo Dresden
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

21.2%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

20.9%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Dresden's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Dresden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Freiburg II - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Freiburg II will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Sauter N. (C) 17. Fallmann P. 27. Lang N. 25. Bichsel J. 48. Yilmaz B. 42. Marino L. 23. Fahrner P. 36. Ambros L. 22. Baur M. 28. Johansson R. 46. Sturm Y.	35. Broll K. (G) 15. Kammerknecht C. 31. Lewald J. 23. Bunning L. 2. Park K. 28. Will P. 10. Lemmer J. 27. Hauptmann N. 19. Herrmann L. 22. Zimmerschied T. 30. Kutschke S. (C)
Substitutes
19. Bouebari F. 6. Braun-Schumacher S. 21. Lee Ji-Han 3. Lungwitz A. 41. Manzambi J. 38. Schneller L. (G) 20. Worner M.	5. Arslan A. 29. Borkowski D. 39. Ehlers K. 8. Meier J. 21. Meissner R. 24. Menzel T. 37. Mesenholer D. (G) 25. Oehmichen J. 9. Schaffler M.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Anfang M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Zimmerschied T. ⚽, Hauptmann N. (A),
40', Park K. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Sturm Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ambros L. ↓, Worner M. ↑,
46', Yilmaz B. ↓, Lungwitz A. ↑,
49', Lewald J. 🟨,
66', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Meier J. ↑,
66', Lemmer J. ↓, Meissner R. ↑,
70', Sturm Y. ↓, Manzambi J. ↑,
72', Kutschke S. 🟨,
78', Herrmann L. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
78', Park K. ↓, Borkowski D. ↑,
83', Fahrner P. ↓, Bouebari F. ↑,
84', Will P. 🟨,
84', Manzambi J. 🟨,
84', Hauptmann N. ↓, Schaffler M. ↑,
90+1', Baur M. ↓, Lee Ji-Han ↑,
90+7', Bunning L. 🟨,
90+7', Worner M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Recent matches Freiburg II is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dynamo Dresden is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Freiburg II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dynamo Dresden is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Freiburg II won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg II won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
06.04.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Freiburg II	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Freiburg II - 1860 München	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Hallescher - Freiburg II	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Freiburg II - Lübeck	3:0 ✺
01.03.24	Sandhausen - Freiburg II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWTWL
- Dynamo Dresden
German 3 Bundesliga
07.04.24	Dynamo Dresden - Saarbrücken	1:3 ✺
30.03.24	Preußen Münster - Dynamo Dresden	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Dynamo Dresden - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
08.03.24	Dynamo Dresden - 1860 München	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Hallescher - Dynamo Dresden	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
04.11.23	Dynamo Dresden - Freiburg II	2:0
29.04.23	Freiburg II - Dynamo Dresden	1:1
05.11.22	Dynamo Dresden - Freiburg II	1:1

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