Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 32

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Erzgebirgsstadion (Aue)

Referee: Schulz T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Erzgebirge Aue		Freiburg II

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	5	Watch
	1.65	3.8	4.8
	1.66	3.75	5	Watch
	1.66	4.08	5.26
	1.65	4.08	5.26
	1.57	3.75	4.8
	1.62	3.84	4.98	Watch
	1.61	3.9	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)	3.93 ↑ (3.87)	5 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzgebirge Aue
57.4%

Draw
23.8%

Freiburg II
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

24.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

25.8%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Erzgebirge Aue - Freiburg II Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Freiburg II will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mannel M. (G) 2. Danhof T. 13. Majetschak E. 24. Nkansah S. 26. Jakob K. 21. Schikora M. 10. Pepic M. 14. Tashchy B. 34. Stefaniak M. 15. Bar M. 9. Meuer S.	40. Sauter N. (G) 17. Fallmann P. 27. Lang N. 25. Bichsel J. 28. Johansson R. 8. Lienhard P. 5. Rudlin F. 42. Marino L. 22. Baur M. 29. Breunig M. 18. Al Ghaddioui H.
Substitutes
5. Burger K. 17. Elsner L. T. 40. Ferjani R. 16. Hetzsch F. 25. Kips T. (G) 12. Schadlich F. 8. Schwirten J. 4. Vukancic N.	19. Bouebari F. 6. Braun-Schumacher S. 3. Lungwitz A. 41. Manzambi J. 38. Schneller L. (G) 46. Sturm Y. 20. Worner M. 48. Yilmaz B.
Coaches
Dotchev P.	Stamm T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Al Ghaddioui H. 🟨,
26', Lienhard P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', Al Ghaddioui H. 🟨,
61', Lienhard P. ↓, Manzambi J. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Jakob K. ⚽,
70', Baur M. ↓, Yilmaz B. ↑,
70', Breunig M. ↓, Sturm Y. ↑,
70', Fallmann P. ↓, Lungwitz A. ↑,
80', Bar M. ↓, Schwirten J. ↑,
80', Jakob K. 🟨,
81', Marino L. ↓, Bouebari F. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Manzambi J. ⚽, Johansson R. (A),
85', 2 - 1, Stefaniak M. ⚽, Tashchy B. (A),
86', Jakob K. ↓, Burger K. ↑,
89', Schikora M. 🟨,
90+2', Manzambi J. 🟨,
90+3', Rudlin F. 🟨,
90+5', Tashchy B. ↓, Ferjani R. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Aue is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Freiburg II is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Aue is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aue won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
30.03.24	Ulm 1846 - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Viktoria Köln	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Preußen Münster	2:3 ✺
24.02.24	Jahn Regensburg - Erzgebirge Aue	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWLLT
- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
30.03.24	Freiburg II - 1860 München	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Hallescher - Freiburg II	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Freiburg II - Lübeck	3:0 ✺
01.03.24	Sandhausen - Freiburg II	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Freiburg II - Waldhof Mannheim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
29.10.23	Freiburg II - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1
28.01.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Freiburg II	0:0
24.07.22	Freiburg II - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1

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