Match Info

Date: 20 November 2021, Saturday


	Freiburg II		TSV Havelse

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	5
	1.68	3.8	4.75
	1.68	3.8	4.4
	1.69	3.75	4.5
	1.68	4.28	4.85
	1.65	3.75	4.6
	1.67	4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.77)	3.88 ↑ (3.62)	4.7 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
55.9%

Draw
24.2%

TSV Havelse
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.6%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

16.8%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

TSV Havelse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (-21.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Freiburg II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TSV Havelse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Freiburg II - TSV Havelse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Freiburg II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Havelse is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Havelse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Freiburg II is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
06.11.21	Freiburg II - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1 ✺
30.10.21	1860 München - Freiburg II	6:0 ✺
23.10.21	Freiburg II - Verl	3:2 ✺
16.10.21	Kaiserslautern - Freiburg II	3:0 ✺
02.10.21	Freiburg II - Hallescher	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWLT
- TSV Havelse
German 3 Bundesliga
13.11.21	Zwickau - TSV Havelse	2:0 ✺
06.11.21	TSV Havelse - Hallescher	2:1 ✺
24.10.21	TSV Havelse - Eintracht Braunschweig	0:4 ✺
18.10.21	Verl - TSV Havelse	5:3 ✺
02.10.21	TSV Havelse - Kaiserslautern	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLL

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