Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 11

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Freiburg II		Hallescher

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.5
	2.75	3.4	2.4
	2.7	3.5	2.4	Watch
	2.78	3.62	2.52
	2.78	3.62	2.52
	2.5	3.4	2.3
	2.68	3.44	2.41
	2.6	3.35	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.11)	3.45 ↑ (3.35)	2.43 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
34.6%

Draw
27%

Hallescher
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

27.4%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

26.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiburg II's form might have worsened.

Hallescher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hallescher's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiburg II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hallescher than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hallescher, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	4.5%	86.4%

Freiburg II - Hallescher Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Freiburg II will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Hallescher will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hallescher: 72.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uphoff B. (G) 23. Fahrner P. 13. Muller S. 5. Rudlin F. 48. Yilmaz B. 47. Ogbus I. 28. Johansson R. 11. Stark J. (C) 42. Marino L. 36. Ambros L. 29. Breunig M.	30. Schulze M. (G) 2. Zieleniecki S. 33. Nietfeld J. (C) 5. Vollert J. 42. Eitschberger J. 17. Casar A. 20. Deniz T. 22. Hug N. 10. Gayret T. 28. Baumann D. 23. Halimi B.
Substitutes
18. Al Ghaddioui H. 25. Bichsel J. 19. Bouebari F. 6. Braun-Schumacher S. 33. Hornung S. (G) 21. Lee Ji-Han 8. Lienhard P. 30. Pellegrino G. 20. Worner M.	11. Baumgart T. 32. Bendel L. (G) 40. Berko E. 21. Dietrich T. 16. Halangk L. 45. Hasenhuttl P. 31. Landgraf N. 9. Skenderovic M. 37. Wolf M.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Ristic S.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Freiburg II is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hallescher has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Freiburg II will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Freiburg II won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg II won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
25.11.23	Ulm 1846 - Freiburg II	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Freiburg II - Preußen Münster	2:2 ✺
04.11.23	Dynamo Dresden - Freiburg II	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Freiburg II - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	1860 München - Freiburg II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Hallescher FC
German 3 Bundesliga
25.11.23	Hallescher - Saarbrücken	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Verl - Hallescher	3:2 ✺
05.11.23	Hallescher - Viktoria Köln	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Ulm 1846 - Hallescher	2:3 ✺
21.10.23	Hallescher - Jahn Regensburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
11.02.23	Hallescher - Freiburg II	1:3
09.08.22	Freiburg II - Hallescher	2:0
06.04.22	Hallescher - Freiburg II	1:0
02.10.21	Freiburg II - Hallescher	1:1

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