Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 23

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Dreisamstadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Michel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Freiburg II		Verl

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2
	3.3	3.4	2.1
	3.4	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.35	3.35	2.08
	3.5	3.61	2.12
	3.2	3.4	1.95
	3.37	3.46	2.03	Watch
	3.25	3.45	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.17)	3.45 ↓ (3.54)	2.05 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
27.8%

Draw
26.9%

Verl
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

25.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

25.7%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	10.5%	78.9%

Freiburg II - Verl Predictions

Users Predictions: Verl will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uphoff B. (G) 27. Lang N. 25. Bichsel J. 13. Muller S. 23. Fahrner P. 5. Rudlin F. 11. Stark J. 3. Lungwitz A. 36. Ambros L. 22. Baur M. 20. Worner M.	1. Unbehaun L. (G) 11. Ochojski N. 16. Paetow T. 2. Gruber F. 24. Stocker M. 30. Sessa N. 5. Baack T. 33. Nadj N. 7. Wolfram M. 28. Otto Y. 13. Lokotsch L.
Substitutes
18. Al Ghaddioui H. 19. Bouebari F. 6. Braun-Schumacher S. 17. Fallmann P. 21. Lee Ji-Han 8. Lienhard P. 42. Marino L. 38. Schneller L. (G) 46. Sturm Y.	19. Friedrich R. 10. Kammerbauer P. 21. Knost T. 22. Mannhardt M. 8. Mehlem M. 4. Mikic D. 25. Muller T. (G) 6. Pernot B. 29. Wosz J.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Ende A.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Freiburg II has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Verl is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Verl could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Verl will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg II won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg II won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
24.01.24	Unterhaching - Freiburg II	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Freiburg II - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0 ✺
20.12.23	Duisburg - Freiburg II	4:2 ✺
17.12.23	Viktoria Köln - Freiburg II	2:0 ✺
09.12.23	Freiburg II - Saarbrücken	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
23.01.24	Verl - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Jahn Regensburg - Verl	1:1 ✺
20.12.23	Verl - Viktoria Köln	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Verl - Ulm 1846	0:3 ✺
10.12.23	Preußen Münster - Verl	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
26.08.23	Verl - Freiburg II	3:2
20.05.23	Verl - Freiburg II	1:2
14.01.23	Freiburg II - Verl	1:1
02.04.22	Verl - Freiburg II	3:1
23.10.21	Freiburg II - Verl	3:2

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