Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 17

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday


	Frome Town		Wimborne Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	2.87
	2.27	3.4	2.75
	2.58	3.5	2.76
	2.48	3.56	2.63	Watch
	2.46	3.24	2.53
	2.27	3.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (3.15)	3.38 ↓ (3.47)	2.72 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frome Town
38.9%

Draw
27.2%

Wimborne Town
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

26.4%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

24.2%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frome Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frome Town's performance.

Wimborne Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wimborne Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frome Town than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frome Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wimborne Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Frome Town - Wimborne Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Burrows M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 13).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Wimborne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Frome won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Frome won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frome Town
English Southern League South Division
22.03.25	Basingstoke Town - Frome Town	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Frome Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
11.03.25	Frome Town - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Tiverton Town - Frome Town	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Wimborne Town - Frome Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTWTL
- Wimborne Town
English Southern League South Division
22.03.25	Wimborne Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Swindon Supermarine - Wimborne Town	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Wimborne Town - Totton	3:1 ✺
04.03.25	Chertsey Town - Wimborne Town	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Wimborne Town - Frome Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
01.03.25	Wimborne Town - Frome Town	1:0
05.01.19	Frome Town - Wimborne Town	1:0
16.10.18	Wimborne Town - Frome Town	3:2
English FA Cup
13.09.14	Frome Town - Wimborne Town	2:0

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