Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 9

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Wimborne Town		Plymouth Parkway

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.05	3.95
	1.62	4.34	4.13
	1.66	3.82	4.26
	1.62	3.8	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)	4 ↑ (3.8)	4.27 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wimborne Town
55.9%

Draw
22.8%

Plymouth Parkway
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

24.1%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

23.1%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wimborne Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Plymouth Parkway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Wimborne Town - Plymouth Parkway Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Scarff T. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Williams L. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Watts-Barciela J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
82', 2 - 2, Fletcher W. ⚽,
85', 3 - 2, Smith J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Wimborne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Plymouth Parkway is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Plymouth Parkway may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Wimborne is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wimborne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Wimborne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wimborne Town
English Southern League South Division
20.09.25	Wimborne Town - Evesham United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Wimborne Town - Bath City	2:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
10.09.25	Gosport Borough - Wimborne Town	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Berkhamsted - Wimborne Town	0:3 ✺
25.08.25	Wimborne Town - Weymouth	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWLWW
- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
20.09.25	Berkhamsted - Plymouth Parkway	2:2 ✺
09.09.25	Plymouth Parkway - Dorchester Town	3:3 ✺
06.09.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Plymouth Parkway	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Basingstoke Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
22.03.25	Wimborne Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:0
29.10.24	Plymouth Parkway - Wimborne Town	2:1

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