Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 36

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Basingstoke Town		Frome Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.4
	1.85	3.75	3.45
	1.91	3.79	3.62
	1.86	3.58	3.54
	1.85	3.75	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.1)	3.67 ↑ (3.23)	3.49 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basingstoke Town
49%

Draw
24.9%

Frome Town
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.2%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basingstoke Town's performance.

Frome Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basingstoke Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frome Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Basingstoke Town - Frome Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Ollis J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Basingstoke won 2.

Basingstoke is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Frome is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Frome could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Basingstoke will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Basingstoke won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.7:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Basingstoke won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 2:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
15.03.25	Sholing - Basingstoke Town	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Basingstoke Town - Chertsey Town	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	Tiverton Town - Basingstoke Town	0:5 ✺
22.02.25	Basingstoke Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:3 ✺
15.02.25	Hungerford Town - Basingstoke Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWLL
- Frome Town
English Southern League South Division
15.03.25	Frome Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
11.03.25	Frome Town - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Tiverton Town - Frome Town	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Wimborne Town - Frome Town	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Frome Town - Marlow	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
12.10.24	Frome Town - Basingstoke Town	1:1
20.04.19	Basingstoke Town - Frome Town	4:1
25.08.18	Frome Town - Basingstoke Town	1:4
English Southern Premier League
21.10.17	Frome Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0
12.08.17	Basingstoke Town - Frome Town	1:3
26.12.16	Frome Town - Basingstoke Town	1:1
29.08.16	Basingstoke Town - Frome Town	1:3

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