Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 10

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Fuenlabrada		SD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.2
	1.8	3.3	4.5
	1.79	3.3	3.6
	1.84	3.36	4.51
	1.83	3.24	4.4
	1.8	3.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.1)	3.32 ↑ (3.12)	4.22 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
50.6%

Draw
27.6%

SD Logroñés
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

29.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.2%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fuenlabrada's performance.

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fuenlabrada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Fuenlabrada - SD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Belman (G) 2. Vigaray C. 16. Alba D. 5. Lama M. 4. Sotillos A. 14. Barbosa A. 12. Buer S. 23. Galindo A. 17. Ruiz Fer 9. Gomez D. 20. Sergio Benito	1. Iruarrizaga A. (G) 6. Elosegi G. 2. Trespalacios A. 4. Murua J. 3. Paredes J. 7. Fernandez O. 22. Garrido D. 8. Castellano J. 19. Garcia T. 10. Rubio 17. Escobar J.
Substitutes
29. Benitez C. 8. Cristobal 1. Diaz J. (G) 3. Duran J. 21. Fernandez M. 24. Giffard L. (G) 19. Hassaine I. 26. Jerome Hilt H. 30. Muriana J. 11. Nieto D. 15. Sanchez A.	21. Arratia S. 5. Aurtenetxe J. 11. Carmona P. 14. Cova A. 16. Ezkurdia I. 27. Jaraiz A. 9. Luzzi Rangel F. R. 18. Manny 13. Marti O. (G) 23. Ortega J. 20. Sabater D.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 14).

Fuenlabrada is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SD Logroñés has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Fuenlabrada is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.10.23	Teruel - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Fuenlabrada - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Sabadell - Fuenlabrada	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Fuenlabrada - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Ponferradina - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWWWL
- SD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.10.23	SD Logroñés - Cornellà	2:2 ✺
15.10.23	Lugo - SD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	SD Logroñés - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Leonesa - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	SD Logroñés - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

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