Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 5

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)


	Ponferradina		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	4.33
	1.9	3.1	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3.29	4.42
	1.89	3.1	4.35
	1.88	3.1	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.77)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	4.31 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
49.2%

Draw
29.4%

Fuenlabrada
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

28.8%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

28.4%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Ponferradina - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Sibille K. 15. Leal A. 3. Jimenez N. 2. Diez A. 16. Lozano M. 6. Igbekeme J. 11. Dacosta R. 7. Gomez E. 10. Yuri	13. Belman (G) 16. Alba D. 4. Sotillos A. 5. Lama M. 14. Barbosa A. 17. Ruiz Fer 10. Bravo A. 23. Galindo A. 3. Duran J. 11. Nieto D. 9. Gomez D.
Substitutes
18. Abelenda B. 5. Fernandez J. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 8. Llonch P. 19. Lopez A. 21. Palanca 22. Soto D.	29. Benitez C. 8. Cristobal 1. Diaz J. (G) 22. Fernandez M. 19. Hassaine I. 26. Jerome Hilt H. 30. Muriana J. 15. Sanchez A. 20. Sergio Benito

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 1.

Ponferradina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fuenlabrada is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fuenlabrada could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ponferradina is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.09.23	Lugo - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Ponferradina - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Sestao - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
27.08.23	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Atlético Astorga - Ponferradina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTWWW
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.09.23	Barcelona B - Fuenlabrada	2:2 ✺
10.09.23	Fuenlabrada - Lugo	0:0 ✺
03.09.23	Cornellà - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Fuenlabrada - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.23	Alcalá - Fuenlabrada	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
23.04.22	Fuenlabrada - Ponferradina	2:3
17.10.21	Ponferradina - Fuenlabrada	0:0
10.04.21	Ponferradina - Fuenlabrada	0:0
25.11.20	Fuenlabrada - Ponferradina	1:1
01.07.20	Ponferradina - Fuenlabrada	0:3
07.09.19	Fuenlabrada - Ponferradina	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.05.19	Ponferradina - Fuenlabrada	1:0

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