Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 8

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Lugo		SD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.77	3.1	4.33
	1.83	3.2	4.5
	1.86	3.13	4.87
	1.81	3.2	4.65
	1.8	3.25	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.77)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	4.48 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
50.8%

Draw
28.8%

SD Logroñés
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

28.8%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

28.6%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

SD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Lugo - SD Logroñés Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lugo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz L. (G) 12. Louis-Jean J. 4. Perez G. 14. Morgado C. 3. Vazquez J. 20. Ojeda T. 18. Jozabed 15. Narro V. 11. Antonin 9. Quintana Nacho 7. Ledesma L.	1. Iruarrizaga A. (G) 6. Elosegi G. 2. Trespalacios A. 4. Murua J. 16. Ezkurdia I. 3. Paredes J. (C) 19. Garcia T. 8. Castellano J. 22. Garrido D. 10. Rubio 17. Escobar J.
Substitutes
21. Abdulai S. 8. Aguza S. 10. Aranda A. 5. Bernardo 6. Castrin A. 19. Fuentes A. 27. Gonzalez J. 13. Tabuaco G. (G) 17. Torrado C.	5. Aurtenetxe J. 26. Blanco C. 11. Carmona P. 7. Fernandez O. 27. Jaraiz A. 9. Luzzi Rangel F. R. 23. Martinez E. 13. Marti O. (G) 20. Sabater D.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 11).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Lugo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lugo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.10.23	Osasuna B - Lugo	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Lugo - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Real Sociedad B - Lugo	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Lugo - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
10.09.23	Fuenlabrada - Lugo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTTT
- SD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.10.23	SD Logroñés - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Leonesa - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	SD Logroñés - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Sabadell - SD Logroñés	1:2 ✺
10.09.23	SD Logroñés - Sestao	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWW

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