Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 34

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Fuenlabrada		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.35	3.1	2.7
	2.5	3.2	2.7
	2.58	3.25	2.73
	2.51	3.25	2.71
	2.42	3.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.07)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	2.71 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
37.2%

Draw
29%

San Fernando
33.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.1%

28.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.2%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fuenlabrada's form might have worsened.

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Fernando's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Fernando, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fuenlabrada - San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Fuenlabrada is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fuenlabrada could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.04.23	Badajoz - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
15.04.23	Fuenlabrada - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
08.04.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Fuenlabrada	4:2 ✺
02.04.23	Fuenlabrada - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Mérida AD - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLWL
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.04.23	San Fernando - Pontevedra	4:2 ✺
16.04.23	Algeciras - San Fernando	0:1 ✺
09.04.23	San Fernando - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Ferrol - San Fernando	3:1 ✺
25.03.23	San Fernando - Talavera de la Reina	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.11.22	San Fernando - Fuenlabrada	3:0

Fuenlabrada - San Fernando

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada - San Fernando Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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