Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 31

Date: 9 April 2023, Sunday


	San Fernando		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	2.88
	2.2	3	3
	2.36	3.03	3.25
	2.28	3.2	3.08
	2.3	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.75)	3.06 ↑ (2.8)	3.03 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
39.8%

Draw
30%

Leonesa
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

32.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

30.7%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Fernando's performance.

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

San Fernando - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 8).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Leonesa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.04.23	Ferrol - San Fernando	3:1 ✺
25.03.23	San Fernando - Talavera de la Reina	5:1 ✺
19.03.23	Ceuta - San Fernando	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	San Fernando - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:2 ✺
04.03.23	Celta de Vigo B - San Fernando	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWTLT
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.04.23	Leonesa - Linares Deportivo	0:2 ✺
26.03.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Leonesa - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Leonesa - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.12.22	Leonesa - San Fernando	2:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	San Fernando - Leonesa	2:3

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