Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 30

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday


	Ferrol		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	3.8
	1.78	3.2	4
	1.68	3.6	4.5
	1.82	3.52	4.34
	1.8	3.45	4.35
	1.84	3.35	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.59)	3.4 (3.4)	4.14 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ferrol
51.1%

Draw
26.8%

San Fernando
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

27%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

26%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferrol's form might have worsened.

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Fernando's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Fernando, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ferrol - San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 13).

Ferrol in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferrol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ferrol is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ferrol to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.03.23	Ferrol - Rayo Majadahonda	4:1 ✺
12.03.23	Alcorcón - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Ferrol - Algeciras	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Linares Deportivo - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Ferrol - Pontevedra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWTW
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.03.23	San Fernando - Talavera de la Reina	5:1 ✺
19.03.23	Ceuta - San Fernando	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	San Fernando - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:2 ✺
04.03.23	Celta de Vigo B - San Fernando	2:2 ✺
25.02.23	San Fernando - Real Madrid Castilla	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.09.22	San Fernando - Ferrol	0:1

Upcoming Matches