Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 28

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday


	Fuente de Cantos		Miajadas

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.8	3
	2.25	2.75	2.95
	2.31	2.83	3.07
	2.36	2.88	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.15)	2.82 ↑ (2.82)	3.05 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuente de Cantos
38.8%

Draw
31.8%

Miajadas
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

32.1%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

25.1%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuente de Cantos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Miajadas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuente de Cantos than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fuente de Cantos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miajadas than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Fuente de Cantos - Miajadas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 12).

Fuente de Cantos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Miajadas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Miajadas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fuente de Cantos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fuente de Cantos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Fuente de Cantos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Fuente de Cantos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
02.04.23	Moralo - Fuente de Cantos	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Fuente de Cantos - Arroyo	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Trujillo - Fuente de Cantos	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Fuente de Cantos - Don Álvaro	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Azuaga - Fuente de Cantos	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTTL
- CD Miajadas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.04.23	Plasencia - Miajadas	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Miajadas - Moralo	0:1 ✺
19.03.23	Arroyo - Miajadas	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Miajadas - Trujillo	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Don Álvaro - Miajadas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.12.22	Miajadas - Fuente de Cantos	2:1
14.02.21	Fuente de Cantos - Miajadas	1:1

Fuente de Cantos - Miajadas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide