Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 21

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Fuente de Cantos		Arroyo

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.95	2.15
	2.93	2.93	2.14
	3.06	3.18	2.15
	3.14	2.99	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	3.01 ↑ (2.87)	2.18 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuente de Cantos
29.2%

Draw
29.7%

Arroyo
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

31.1%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

30.3%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuente de Cantos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuente de Cantos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Fuente de Cantos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arroyo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fuente de Cantos won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Fuente de Cantos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Fuente de Cantos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
04.02.24	Olivenza - Fuente de Cantos	1:3 ✺
28.01.24	Fuente de Cantos - Jerez	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Montehermoso - Fuente de Cantos	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Jaraíz - Fuente de Cantos	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Fuente de Cantos - Trujillo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WLLTT
- Arroyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
04.02.24	Arroyo - Don Benito	2:1 ✺
21.01.24	Arroyo - Castuera	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Arroyo - Moralo	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Pueblonuevo - Arroyo	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Olivenza - Arroyo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.10.23	Arroyo - Fuente de Cantos	1:0
26.03.23	Fuente de Cantos - Arroyo	0:0
27.11.22	Arroyo - Fuente de Cantos	0:0
28.02.21	Fuente de Cantos - Arroyo	1:2
08.03.20	Arroyo - Fuente de Cantos	1:0

Fuente de Cantos - Arroyo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide