Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 11

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Azuaga		Fuente de Cantos

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.2	9.5
	1.28	4.55	9.3
	1.29	4.55	9.3
	1.27	4.7	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.37)	4.5 ↑ (4.02)	9.48 ↑ (7.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azuaga
70.4%

Draw
20.1%

Fuente de Cantos
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

22.3%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

16.8%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azuaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Fuente de Cantos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Azuaga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuente de Cantos than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fuente de Cantos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Azuaga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fuente de Cantos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Azuaga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Azuaga is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Azuaga won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Azuaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Azuaga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
05.11.23	Don Benito - Azuaga	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Azuaga - Cartagena	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
29.10.23	Azuaga - Diocesano	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Castuera - Azuaga	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	Azuaga - Moralo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWL
- UD Fuente de Cantos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
05.11.23	Fuente de Cantos - Villafranca	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Pueblonuevo - Fuente de Cantos	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Don Benito - Fuente de Cantos	3:0 ✺
15.10.23	Fuente de Cantos - Diocesano	1:3 ✺
12.10.23	Castuera - Fuente de Cantos	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
05.03.23	Azuaga - Fuente de Cantos	4:1
30.10.22	Fuente de Cantos - Azuaga	1:1
14.03.21	Fuente de Cantos - Azuaga	3:0

Azuaga - Fuente de Cantos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide