The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moralo 67.2%
Draw 20.8%
Fuente de Cantos 12%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63%
22.8%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.3%
21.7%
13.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moralo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Fuente de Cantos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuente de Cantos than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Moralo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Fuente de Cantos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Moralo is certain favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Moralo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Moralo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.