Match Info

J2 League - Round 11

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Fujieda soccer stadium (Fujieda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Fujieda MYFC		Roasso Kumamoto

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.55
	2.6	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.61	3.39	2.78
	2.72	3.24	2.57	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.62
	2.53	3.27	2.73	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.23)	3.22 ↓ (3.45)	2.64 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fujieda MYFC
36.2%

Draw
28.8%

Roasso Kumamoto
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

26%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

27.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fujieda MYFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Roasso Kumamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fujieda MYFC than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fujieda MYFC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	72.7%	18.2%

Fujieda MYFC - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fujieda MYFC will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Kumamoto will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Kitamura K. C. (G) 22. Hisadomi R. 16. Mori Y. 4. Nakagawa S. 33. Kawakami C. 8. Asakura R. 15. Sugita M. 19. Shimabuku K. 9. Chiba K. 11. Anderson Chaves 29. Diamanka C.	23. Sato Y. (G) 3. Onishi R. 24. Ri T. 4. Hakamata Y. 15. Mishima S. 8. Kamimura S. 6. Iwashita W. 17. Fujii K. 14. Shiohama R. 18. Handai M. 16. Matsuoka R.
Substitutes
10. Enomoto K. 23. Kajikawa R. 50. Kaneko S. 5. Kusumoto T. 27. Maeda S. 7. Matsuki S. 25. Nakamura R. 1. Rokutan Y. (G) 6. Sese H.	11. Bae Jeong-Min 25. Kobayashi K. 10. Konagaya C. 2. Kuroki K. 1. Sato S. (G) 7. Takemoto Y. 21. Toyoda A.
Coaches
Sudo D.	Oki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Iwashita W. ⚽, Hakamata Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Anderson Chaves ↓, Sese H. ↑,
60', Sugita M. ↓, Kajikawa R. ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Shiohama R. ⚽,
69', Diamanka C. ↓, Matsuki S. ↑,
69', Kawakami C. ↓, Maeda S. ↑,
69', Matsuoka R. ↓, Bae Jeong-Min ↑,
79', Hisadomi R. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
88', Fujii K. ↓, Toyoda A. ↑,
88', Handai M. ↓, Takemoto Y. ↑,
90+1', Takemoto Y. 🟨,
90+5', Mishima S. ↓, Kuroki K. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fujieda MYFC won 3.

Fujieda MYFC is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kumamoto is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Fujieda MYFC won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:14 (average 1.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Fujieda MYFC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Roasso Kumamoto - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.82%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fujieda MYFC
Japan J2 League
20.04.25	Consadole Sapporo - Fujieda MYFC	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Fujieda MYFC - JEF United Chiba	2:3 ✺
05.04.25	Sagan Tosu - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Fujieda MYFC - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Ventforet Kofu - Fujieda MYFC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWL
- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
20.04.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Júbilo Iwata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Kataller Toyama	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Sagan Tosu	3:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Mito HollyHock - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
01.09.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Fujieda MYFC	1:2
24.03.24	Fujieda MYFC - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1
10.09.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Fujieda MYFC	0:2
17.06.23	Fujieda MYFC - Roasso Kumamoto	0:4
Japan J3 League
03.10.21	Roasso Kumamoto - Fujieda MYFC	3:2
29.05.21	Fujieda MYFC - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1
14.11.20	Roasso Kumamoto - Fujieda MYFC	2:3

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