The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Roasso Kumamoto 28.4%
Draw 31.5%
Sagan Tosu 40.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.3%
28.7%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.6%
28.9%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roasso Kumamoto's form might have worsened.
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roasso Kumamoto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Roasso Kumamoto - Sagan Tosu Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sato S. (G) 5. Kobayashi K. 24. Ri T. 6. Iwashita W. 41. Omoto Y. 8. Kamimura S. 39. Aoki S. 25. Nasu K. 27. Negishi K. 11. Bae Jeong-Min 7. Fujii K.
12. Matsubara S. (G) 5. Nagasawa S. 4. Imazu Y. 33. Ogawa S. 22. Yuba K. 2. Matsumoto N. 6. Sakurai T. 7. Sakamoto K. 18. Hyon R. 16. Nishizawa K. 19. Suzuki D.
Substitutes
18. Handai M. 13. Iihoshi A. 14. Ishihara O. 10. Katori Y. 2. Kuroki K. 15. Mishima S. 23. Sato Y. (G) 26. Toda S. 4. Yakushida R.
26. Ando T. 76. Isotani S. 1. Izumori R. (G) 3. Kamiyama K. 23. Kitajima F. 15. Sakai N. 29. Tanaka Y. 20. Toyoda A. 43. Yoshino K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Sakurai T. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Suzuki D. ⚽, Sakamoto K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 2, Sakamoto K. ⚽, Hyon R. (A),
70', Nasu K. ↓, Iihoshi A. ↑,
70', Fujii K. ↓, Katori Y. ↑,
70', Bae Jeong-Min ↓, Ishihara O. ↑,
72', Sakurai T. ↓, Toyoda A. ↑,
72', Suzuki D. ↓, Sakai N. ↑,
78', Negishi K. ↓, Mishima S. ↑,
80', Hyon R. ↓, Tanaka Y. ↑,
83', Omoto Y. ↓, Handai M. ↑,
87', Sakamoto K. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
87', Matsumoto N. ↓, Kitajima F. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 2.
Kumamoto is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tosu is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Kumamoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tosu might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.6:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Kumamoto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
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Japan
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Sato S. (G) 
Ri T. 
Bae Jeong-Min 
