Match Info

J2 League - Round 8

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Egao Kenko Stadium (Kumamoto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Roasso Kumamoto		Kataller Toyama

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.88	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.37	3.25	2.85	Watch
	2.41	3.32	2.86	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.8
	2.41	3.18	2.83	Watch
	2.37	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.41)	3.27 ↓ (3.29)	2.82 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roasso Kumamoto
39.2%

Draw
28.2%

Kataller Toyama
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27.7%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roasso Kumamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Roasso Kumamoto - Kataller Toyama Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kumamoto will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sato Y. (G) 3. Onishi R. 24. Ri T. 4. Hakamata Y. 15. Mishima S. 8. Kamimura S. 6. Iwashita W. 17. Fujii K. 19. Watanabe R. 18. Handai M. 14. Shiohama R.	1. Tagawa T. (G) 23. Nishiya S. 4. Kamiyama K. 5. Imase J. 28. Fuseya S. 33. Takahashi Y. 34. Takenaka G. 48. Ueda K. 18. Ito T. 10. Matsuda R. 9. Usui S.
Substitutes
25. Kobayashi K. 2. Kuroki K. 16. Matsuoka R. 9. Omoto Y. 20. Osaki S. 1. Sato S. (G) 7. Takemoto Y.	88. Hama T. 17. Inoue N. 8. Matsuoka D. 32. Mizoguchi S. 21. Okubo T. (G) 41. Sakai S. 16. Sueki H. 58. Take H. 14. Ura J.
Coaches
Oki T.	Otagiri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Onishi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Watanabe R. ↓, Omoto Y. ↑,
60', Ueda K. ↓, Sueki H. ↑,
60', Ito T. ↓, Ura J. ↑,
74', Fujii K. ↓, Takemoto Y. ↑,
74', Shiohama R. ↓, Osaki S. ↑,
74', Matsuda R. ↓, Take H. ↑,
74', Takenaka G. ↓, Hama T. ↑,
88', Fuseya S. ↓, Mizoguchi S. ↑,
90+2', Handai M. ↓, Matsuoka R. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kumamoto won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kumamoto won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:6 (average 1.9:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Kumamoto won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
30.03.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Sagan Tosu	3:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Mito HollyHock - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Montedio Yamagata	1:3 ✺
09.03.25	Tokushima Vortis - Roasso Kumamoto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLT
- Kataller Toyama
Japan J2 League
30.03.25	Kataller Toyama - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Kataller Toyama - JEF United Chiba	4:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Sagan Tosu - Kataller Toyama	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Imabari - Kataller Toyama	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Kataller Toyama - Júbilo Iwata	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
14.11.21	Roasso Kumamoto - Kataller Toyama	2:2
13.06.21	Kataller Toyama - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1
09.12.20	Roasso Kumamoto - Kataller Toyama	1:0
02.09.20	Kataller Toyama - Roasso Kumamoto	2:3
Japan J2 League
24.08.14	Kataller Toyama - Roasso Kumamoto	0:2
31.05.14	Roasso Kumamoto - Kataller Toyama	2:0
06.10.13	Kataller Toyama - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2

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