Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group E - Round 26

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Fulgens Foligno		San Donato Tavarnelle

	1	X	2
	2	2.95	3.5
	2.04	2.72	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.62)	2.84 ↓ (3.6)	3.75 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulgens Foligno
44.4%

Draw
31.7%

San Donato Tavarnelle
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

24.1%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulgens Foligno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fulgens Foligno's form might have worsened.

San Donato Tavarnelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Donato Tavarnelle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulgens Foligno than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fulgens Foligno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Donato Tavarnelle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fulgens Foligno - San Donato Tavarnelle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Carcani P. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Tomassini S. ⚽,
25', 🟥,
26', 2 - 1, Schiaroli L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 3 - 1, Schiaroli L. ⚽,
73', 3 - 2, Borgarello M. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Fulgens Foligno is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches San Donato is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Donato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fulgens Foligno is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fulgens Foligno won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Fulgens Foligno
Italian Serie D - Group E
23.02.25	Fezzanese - Fulgens Foligno	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Fulgens Foligno - Grosseto	4:1 ✺
02.02.25	Fulgens Foligno - Trestina	4:2 ✺
26.01.25	Fulgens Foligno - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Figline - Fulgens Foligno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWWL
- San Donato Tavarnelle
Italian Serie D - Group E
23.02.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Terranuova Traiana	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Livorno - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Seravezza Pozzi	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Orvietana - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Ghiviborgo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
27.10.24	San Donato Tavarnelle - Fulgens Foligno	1:1

Fulgens Foligno - San Donato Tavarnelle: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide