Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 21

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Sutton United		Fylde

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	5.25
	1.53	3.9	4.8
	1.53	4.2	5.5
	1.53	4.3	5.86
	1.54	4.15	5.72	Watch
	1.65	3.75	4.5
	1.54	4.3	5.38
	1.53	4.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.73)	4.13 ↑ (3.75)	5.31 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
60.1%

Draw
22.5%

Fylde
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

24.3%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

23.8%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sutton United's performance.

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fylde might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sutton United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Sutton United - Fylde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sims J. (G) 14. Barbrook F. 7. Coley J. 9. Davies W. 4. French T. (C) 15. Muller H. 24. Nadesan A. 6. Odelusi S. 19. Sivi J. 33. Topalloj B. 20. Wadham J.	31. Winterbottom B. (G) 14. Bardell M. 3. Evans O. 10. Haughton N. 18. McFayden L. 8. Mitchell E. 5. Obi E. 34. O'Kane T. 29. Ormerod D. 21. Roberts T. 17. Whelan C. (C)
Substitutes
25. Arnold S. (G) 17. Boateng N. 11. De Silva D. 3. Okoli C. 5. Ransom H. 12. Vaz E. 18. Waller C.	2. Gamble P. 7. Jolley C. 6. Long A. 1. Richardson T. (G) 40. Riley J. 11. Ustabasi J. 9. Zanzala O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', French T. 🟨,
29', Barbrook F. 🟨,
33', Nadesan A. 🟨,
37', Topalloj B. 🟨,
43', Evans O. 🟨,
44', Muller H. 🟨,
44', Ormerod D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Bardell M. 🟨,
56', Coley J. 🟨,
64', Ormerod D. ↓, Jolley C. ↑,
65', Evans O. ↓, Ustabasi J. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Nadesan A. ⚽,
71', 2 - 0, Davies W. ⚽,
74', Sivi J. ↓, Ransom H. ↑,
75', Nadesan A. ↓, De Silva D. ↑,
84', Coley J. ↓, Boateng N. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sutton won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Sutton is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sutton won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
26.11.24	Sutton United - Solihull Moors	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Sutton United - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Rochdale - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.11.24	Sutton United - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
English National League
26.10.24	Braintree Town - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLLW
- AFC Fylde
English National League
26.11.24	Hartlepool United - Fylde	2:0 ✺
16.11.24	Braintree Town - Fylde	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Fylde - Gateshead	3:0 ✺
26.10.24	Fylde - Altrincham	0:5 ✺
23.10.24	Boston United - Fylde	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
04.11.23	Sutton United - Fylde	2:1
English National League
10.12.19	Fylde - Sutton United	0:0
01.12.18	Fylde - Sutton United	2:2
25.08.18	Sutton United - Fylde	0:0
07.04.18	Fylde - Sutton United	2:1
07.10.17	Sutton United - Fylde	2:1

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