Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 10

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Mill Farm (Wesham)


	Fylde		Woking

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.5
	2.35	3.4	2.5
	2.45	3.6	2.6
	2.5	3.65	2.65
	2.5	3.54	2.61	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.45
	2.45	3.5	2.56
	2.45	3.6	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.17)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	2.56 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylde
37.7%

Draw
26.2%

Woking
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

26.3%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

24.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Woking has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Woking than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Fylde - Woking Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fylde will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Woking will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Winterbottom B. (G)	22. Jaaskelainen W. (G)
3. Evans O.	16. Akinola O.
10. Haughton N.	23. Anderson J.
23. Hosannah B. J.	6. Andrews J.
6. Long A.	7. Beautyman H.
20. Massey G.	18. Conte R.
8. Mitchell E.	35. Dyche M.
29. Ormerod D.	8. Gorman D.
40. Riley J.	4. Harries C.
11. Ustabasi J.	9. Kendall C.
17. Whelan C.	2. Moss D.
Substitutes
2. Gamble P.	3. Jones J.
28. Hailwood J.	27. Kelly-Evans D.
7. Jolley C.	29. Leahy T.
5. Obi E.	10. Walker L.
34. O'Kane T.	17. Ward M.
1. Richardson T. (G)	28. Webber O. (G)
9. Zanzala O.	21. Wynter B.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 13).

Fylde is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Woking is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Woking could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fylde won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Fylde won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Fylde
English National League
17.09.24	Fylde - Southend United	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	York City - Fylde	3:0 ✺
10.09.24	Forest Green Rovers - Fylde	3:0 ✺
07.09.24	Fylde - Yeovil Town	3:4 ✺
26.08.24	Wealdstone - Fylde	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL
- Woking
English National League
14.09.24	Woking - Oldham Athletic	1:3 ✺
10.09.24	Woking - Wealdstone	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Braintree Town - Woking	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Rochdale - Woking	3:0 ✺
26.08.24	Woking - Hartlepool United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
20.04.24	Woking - Fylde	3:0
30.09.23	Fylde - Woking	0:2
17.08.19	Fylde - Woking	1:4
27.01.18	Woking - Fylde	1:0
23.09.17	Fylde - Woking	1:2

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