Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 7

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Mill Farm (Wesham)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	National League TV


	Fylde		Yeovil Town

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.5
	2.37	3.3	2.45
	2.5	3.5	2.6
	2.52	3.65	2.63
	2.49	3.61	2.59	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.6
	2.49	3.44	2.55
	2.5	3.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.27)	3.48 ↑ (3.46)	2.57 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylde
37.4%

Draw
26.6%

Yeovil Town
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

25.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Yeovil Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Fylde - Yeovil Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Winterbottom B. (G) 4. Davis H. 3. Evans O. 10. Haughton N. 23. Hosannah B. J. 6. Long A. 8. Mitchell E. 40. Riley J. 11. Ustabasi J. 17. Whelan C. (C) 9. Zanzala O.	1. Wright O. (G) 33. Bernard D. 24. Cooper C. 5. Cousin-Dawson F. 9. Jarvis A. 14. McGavin B. 10. Nouble F. 19. Sims J. 23. Smith M. 3. Whittle A. 8. Worthington M. (C)
Substitutes
2. Gamble P. 7. Jolley C. 20. Massey G. 34. O'Kane T. 29. Ormerod D. 1. Richardson T. (G) 21. Roberts T.	22. Gould M. (G) 38. Koerner C. 16. Lo-Everton S. 7. Pearson S. 11. Young J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Haughton N. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Haughton N. ⚽, Mitchell E. (A),
41', Bernard D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Sims J. ↓, Young J. ↑,
46', Cousin-Dawson F. ↓, Pearson S. ↑,
62', Riley J. ↓, Massey G. ↑,
62', Zanzala O. ↓, Ormerod D. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Pearson S. ⚽, Jarvis A. (A),
69', 2 - 2, Jarvis A. ⚽,
73', Davis H. ↓, Gamble P. ↑,
73', Massey G. 🟨,
77', Ustabasi J. ↓, O'Kane T. ↑,
78', Mitchell E. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,
78', McGavin B. ↓, Lo-Everton S. ↑,
78', 2 - 3, Lo-Everton S. ⚽, Nouble F. (A),
84', 3 - 3, Roberts T. ⚽,
87', 3 - 4, Bernard D. ⚽,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Yeovil could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fylde won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Fylde won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Fylde
English National League
26.08.24	Wealdstone - Fylde	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Fylde - Maidenhead United	0:0 ✺
20.08.24	Oldham Athletic - Fylde	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Eastleigh - Fylde	4:2 ✺
10.08.24	Fylde - Solihull Moors	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTLW
- Yeovil Town
English National League
31.08.24	Boston United - Yeovil Town	1:3 ✺
26.08.24	Yeovil Town - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Gateshead - Yeovil Town	3:1 ✺
20.08.24	Yeovil Town - Ebbsfleet United	3:2 ✺
17.08.24	Braintree Town - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
21.12.19	Fylde - Yeovil Town	2:2
14.09.19	Yeovil Town - Fylde	3:2

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