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Current Win Probability
York City 61.1%
Draw 22.2%
Fylde 16.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.4%
25.6%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
24.8%
21.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in York City's performance.
Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fylde might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with York City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
York City - Fylde Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Male H. (G) 20. Aguiar R. 15. Armstrong M. 28. Fagan-Walcott M. 2. Fallowfield R. 23. Felix J. 5. Howe C. (C) 8. Hunt A. 11. Nathaniel-George A. 10. Pearce O. 7. Sinclair T.
31. Winterbottom B. (G) 4. Davis H. 10. Haughton N. 23. Hosannah B. J. 6. Long A. 20. Massey G. 8. Mitchell E. 40. Riley J. 11. Ustabasi J. 17. Whelan C. (C) 9. Zanzala O.
Substitutes
9. Akinyemi D. 19. Chadwick B. 17. Harriott C. 21. John C. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 6. McLaughlin P. 16. Watson R. (G)
19. Brennan L. 3. Evans O. 2. Gamble P. 7. Jolley C. 34. O'Kane T. 29. Ormerod D. 1. Richardson T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Pearce O. 🟨,
23', Hosannah B. J. 🟨,
38', Ustabasi J. 🟨,
42', Davis H. 🟥,
45', Zanzala O. ↓, O'Kane T. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Armstrong M. ⚽,
62', Armstrong M. ↓, John-Lewis L. N. ↑,
62', Sinclair T. ↓, Harriott C. ↑,
63', Nathaniel-George A. ↓, Akinyemi D. ↑,
63', Haughton N. ↓, Ormerod D. ↑,
64', Riley J. ↓, Jolley C. ↑,
66', Fagan-Walcott M. 🟨,
70', 2 - 0, John-Lewis L. N. ⚽, Akinyemi D. (A),
77', Ustabasi J. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
78', Pearce O. ↓, Chadwick B. ↑,
82', Aguiar R. ↓, McLaughlin P. ↑,
85', Fallowfield R. 🟨,
90', 3 - 0, Harriott C. ⚽, John-Lewis L. N. (A),
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).
York is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Fylde is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
York could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match York is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches York won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.
Including matches at home between the teams York won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.