Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 6

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Mill Farm (Wesham)


	Fylde		Southend United

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.15
	2.87	3.3	2.1
	3.1	3.4	2.2
	3.2	3.48	2.22
	3.11	3.42	2.22	Watch
	2.88	3.5	2.15
	3.07	3.42	2.17
	3.1	3.4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.67)	3.43 ↓ (3.43)	2.18 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylde
30.4%

Draw
27%

Southend United
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

27%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

26.7%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Fylde - Southend United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fylde will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Southend will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Winterbottom B. (G) 3. Evans O. 10. Haughton N. 23. Hosannah B. J. 6. Long A. 20. Massey G. 8. Mitchell E. 29. Ormerod D. 40. Riley J. 11. Ustabasi J. 17. Whelan C. (C)	30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 9. Bonne M. 7. Bridge J. 5. Crowther A. 15. Gubbins J. 8. Husin N. 20. Moncur G. 23. Morton 3. Ralph N. (C) 2. Scott-Morriss G. 16. Taylor H.
Substitutes
2. Gamble P. 28. Hailwood J. 7. Jolley C. 5. Obi E. 34. O'Kane T. 1. Richardson T. (G) 9. Zanzala O.	22. Appiah-Forson K. 26. Faulkner M. 25. Hillson J. (G) 27. Macdonald B. 19. Pepple A. 4. Wind G. 14. Wood J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Ustabasi J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Taylor H. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Scott-Morriss G. ⚽,
67', Gubbins J. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
73', Riley J. ↓, Zanzala O. ↑,
73', Ormerod D. ↓, O'Kane T. ↑,
82', Morton ↓, Appiah-Forson K. ↑,
84', Massey G. ↓, Jolley C. ↑,
87', Ralph N. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Haughton N. ⚽,
90+4', Haughton N. ↓, Obi E. ↑,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Southend will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fylde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Fylde won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Fylde
English National League
14.09.24	York City - Fylde	3:0 ✺
10.09.24	Forest Green Rovers - Fylde	3:0 ✺
07.09.24	Fylde - Yeovil Town	3:4 ✺
26.08.24	Wealdstone - Fylde	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Fylde - Maidenhead United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Southend United
English National League
14.09.24	Southend United - Sutton United	1:3 ✺
10.09.24	Southend United - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Oldham Athletic - Southend United	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	Southend United - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Barnet - Southend United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
13.04.24	Fylde - Southend United	0:2
23.09.23	Southend United - Fylde	1:2

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