Match Info

National League - Round 33

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Huish Park (Yeovil)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Yeovil Town		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.6	1.57
	5.5	3.85	1.55
	5.96	3.77	1.6
	5.58	4.05	1.55	Watch
	5.5	3.5	1.6
	5.57	3.64	1.55
	5.66	3.8	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.61 ↑ (5.54)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	1.57 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeovil Town
16.5%

Draw
24.7%

Rochdale
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

24.5%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

24.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeovil Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+1%)

Yeovil Town - Rochdale Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Rochdale (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ward J. (G) 5. Cousin-Dawson F. 2. Mukena J. 6. Wannell J. (C) 19. Sims J. 18. Perrett T. 14. McGavin B. 28. Mafico D. 11. Daly J. 8. McCormick L. 29. Campbell T.	1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. (C) 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 5. Hogan L. 19. Burger J. 25. Perry C. 18. Barlow A. 16. Pettit C. 4. East R. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 7. Allarakhia T.
Substitutes
34. Biss J. 22. Gould M. (G) 21. Greenslade H. 9. Jarvis A. 23. Page J. 27. Skura D. 38. Works T.	6. Ebanks-Landell E. 36. Francis E. 40. Henderson I. 23. Hosannah B. J. 22. Moss D. 17. Pritchard J. 10. Rodney D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Barlow A. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Cousin-Dawson F. ⚽, McGavin B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mukena J. ↓, Skura D. ↑,
46', Burger J. ↓, Rodney D. ↑,
46', Hogan L. ↓, Ebanks-Landell E. ↑,
59', Campbell T. ↓, Jarvis A. ↑,
65', Allarakhia T. ↓, Moss D. ↑,
65', Dieseruvwe E. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
67', Perrett T. ↓, Greenslade H. ↑,
69', Jarvis A. 🟥,
80', Barlow A. ↓, Pritchard J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yeovil won 0.

Recent performances by Yeovil have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rochdale is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Yeovil has had a series of away games.

Recently, Rochdale has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rochdale is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Yeovil won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:13. (average 0.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Yeovil won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).

Outrights of English National League for now

Yeovil: 2.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Yeovil	13	7	4	2	32:15	17	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeovil Town
English National League
11.02.26	Boreham Wood - Yeovil Town	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Altrincham - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
31.01.26	AFC Telford United - Yeovil Town	0:2 ✺
English National League
17.01.26	Brackley Town - Yeovil Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Yeovil Town - Alvechurch	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWLW
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
11.02.26	Rochdale - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Rochdale - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Rochdale - Boreham Wood	4:1 ✺
27.01.26	Rochdale - Southend United	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Rochdale - Truro City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.10.25	Rochdale - Yeovil Town	3:0
25.01.25	Rochdale - Yeovil Town	4:0
26.08.24	Yeovil Town - Rochdale	0:1
English League One
28.03.15	Rochdale - Yeovil Town	2:1
25.10.14	Yeovil Town - Rochdale	0:3
07.04.12	Yeovil Town - Rochdale	N/A

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