The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fylkir 28%
Draw 22.1%
KR Reykjavík 49.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.6%
22.3%
59.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.1%
21.7%
60.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fylkir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fylkir's performance.
KR Reykjavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KR Reykjavík might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylkir than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fylkir that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KR Reykjavík than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KR Reykjavík could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fylkir - KR Reykjavík Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Helgason O. (G) 77. Arnarsson B. 3. Asthorsson A. 10. Gardarsson B. 18. Gunnarsson N. 4. Jonsson H. 6. Leosson G. 5. Segatta O. 92. Sigfusson K. 70. Tyrfingsson G. 9. Wohler E.
1. Olafsson A. (G) 19. Cosic A. 21. Eyjolfsson G. 30. Karason S. 14. Palmason A. 7. Palmason F. 17. Rae L. 9. Saebjornsson E. 11. Sigurdarson A. 22. Thordarson A. 26. Tomasson H.
Substitutes
25. Baldursson J. 72. Catano H. 17. Eythorsson B. 30. Hermannsson A. (G) 7. Hilmarsson M. 20. Oskarsson T. 11. Ottesen M.
29. Albertsson A. 27. Bjarnason G. 8. Geirsson S. 12. Georgsson H. (G) 15. Gudbrandsson G. 77. Sigurdsson O. 10. Tryggvason G.
Coaches
Gudjonsson H.
Thorvaldsson O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
6', 1 - 0, Leosson G. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Sigurdarson A. ⚽,
19', Wohler E. 🟨,
21', 1 - 2, Saebjornsson E. ⚽,
31', 1 - 3, Cosic A. ⚽,
36', Rae L. 🟨,
41', 2 - 3, Tyrfingsson G. ⚽, Wohler E. (A),
44', Sigurdarson A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 🟥,
68', 3 - 3, ⚽,
81', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', 4 - 3, ⚽,
90+7', 4 - 4, ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fylkir won 1.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Fylkir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, KR Reykjavík is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fylkir won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:43. (average 1.5:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Fylkir won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.7:1.9).
Watch
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Helgason O. (G) 
Rae L. 
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